This video will come out on the evening of July 1, at the very
moment when half the country will be
sitting there wondering what to do and how to
live with this going forward. Reading the thoughts of
half the country is very easy for me, even
now, on June 30, when I am recording this
video, because I can already tell you
what the results of the nationwide
vote will be: 72 percent in favor of the amendments
because of the resetting of Putin's term limits. I am sure that
if I am wrong, it is only by a couple of
percentage points. And we all need a plan for what
to do and how to save our country.
That plan exists. It is completely concrete,
and each of us can and must find
our place in it. But first, we still need to
understand what has happened and what
the consequences will be. What we saw was a show
with a pre-planned ending. Putin decided
to legalize his lifelong
presidency. United Russia adopted these
amendments, but that was not enough.
It is not very elegant when the tsar is appointed by United
Russia, so Putin said:
we will stage a nationwide performance,
announce that more than half the people
recognize this performance as a real
vote and will come take part in it,
and at the end the curtain will fall and it will say
"Result: 72 percent." And that is not
an exaggeration. After all, we do have
a law. It is not a very good one, and it is often
violated, but it still exists. It is
called the law on guarantees of citizens' electoral
rights, and it is precisely this law that gives
you and me
the guarantees that if an election is taking place
in the country, then there must be
observers, there must be a ballot box of a certain
format, and this is how
a polling station must be
set up. This is how
votes are counted. If you want to file
a complaint, this is how you write it, and under this
procedure you can go to court. But this
time it was officially stated, and look
here, in their responses to complaints they write in black
and white: for this vote, the law on
guarantees of electoral rights
does not
apply. In other words, for the sake of his
enthronement, Putin canceled our guarantees and
rights and held a vote where you could neither
observe nor complain, where you did not even need
to stuff anything into the ballot box.
You simply announce the result. The only
thing he needed
was turnout, because you cannot stage
a performance in a completely empty hall.
I ask you, dear friends,
to have your say. Every one of your votes
is the most important, the most crucial. But a fake is
still a fake. Once again, I urge everyone
to understand very clearly that this vote
is invalid and unlawful. The fundamental
law of our country, a vast country where
150 million people live, cannot be adopted
through voting on tree stumps, out of car trunks,
in cardboard boxes, and in shopping carts from
the supermarket. Putin has simply humiliated everyone. We
look worse than countries in Africa.
Most Third World countries do not have
this kind of disgrace, and we will never recognize
this voting result. It is a fake, but
it has become an open acknowledgment
of what is happening in the country.
Vladimir Putin, together with a group of his
corrupt friends and associates,
has illegally seized power and wants to be
Russia's ruler for life. And we have also
created another weapon, one that no one else in the
world yet has, and this is even more important.
These consequences, too, are very easy for us
to predict, because Putin did not
invent all this. He is simply, step by step,
repeating what was done in those
countries whose political regimes he
wants to establish here in Russia.
Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Peru, Burkina Faso,
Senegal, Burundi, and several other
countries have carried out exactly the same
resetting of term limits, and they all have one
thing in common: they are backward, underdeveloped countries with
very poor populations. These countries
are deteriorating, wages there are tiny,
and people leave them in search of
a better life. And there is not the slightest doubt
that Putin is leading us down that same path. Our
population's incomes have already been falling
for seven years in a row.
And every year, about
150,000 people leave Russia for good. There is not
a single example
of a case where the rule of this kind of lifelong
leader, obsessed with voting rituals and
resetting his terms, has led to
a rise in living standards. As long as Putin is in power,
Russia will grow poorer and deteriorate, and
the life of every person, including you personally,
will become a little
worse each year than the life of someone living in a country
where power changes hands through fair
elections. Putin will not leave on his own. Neither he nor his
cronies will ever give up
the opportunity to rule over millions of people
and appropriate their taxes and natural
resources, their land. I am not ashamed for
my friends. Getting rid of Putin and his
United Russia is a question of the future
of each one of us. You can study,
strive, work hard, but half
the work of your life will simply be devoured and
devalued by this inefficient,
degrading, thieving regime. But there are no
rich countries, no countries with
high wages, where people vote on
a tree stump and in a supermarket cart. That
is the law.
Friends, if you've seen how this goes,
people being carted around to vote,
from Pyaterochka (a major Russian discount supermarket chain), then what needs to be done, and what
the plan is. There is a plan, of course, and it's more complicated
than just, "Let's all go and vote"
against, because this plan takes into account
reality, the strengths and weaknesses
of the regime. The first and main point
where we should focus our efforts is what's left
of Putin's approval rating. After 20 years in power,
he has shown his incompetence.
Everything he has is built on promises and lies.
About half the people in the
country already understand this, and I believe that the minimum benchmark for the
share of the middle class in the structure
of the population by 2020 should be, for
us, no less than 60, and maybe even
70 percent. The result
should be the adoption by the government
of the Russian Federation of a concept
for socioeconomic development through
2020, and a concrete action plan
for all the areas outlined above. And there is not a single
serious—not a single serious
reason that would prevent
us from achieving the goals we have set. Not
one. Another 30 percent are people with
their heads filled with propaganda and lies.
But there are also about 20 percent who are
firm supporters of Putin, who
of course does have them, but they have long since
ceased to be the majority in the country. So all
the chances for change are above all connected
with the campaigning work of each of us. Twenty
percent—the most active and sensible—
must persuade 20 percent of those
who sit in front of the TV. That will be followed by
such a drop in Putin's approval rating that
his regime will not withstand it. This is something we need to understand
very clearly. The foundations of the regime are,
of course, corrupt courts and police,
propagandists, election fraud. But first and foremost,
real, actual
living people with brainwashed minds. They give
Putin his approval rating, support, votes, and, as he sees it, the right
to take away
our votes. And it is on that rating that Putin
rules. This is not abstract reasoning;
it is a point in the plan: every day, do
something to campaign against this government.
Share a video, hand out a leaflet,
talk in the smoking area.
This is the most important work. No one is going to
do it for you. Second, Putin has
a formal mechanism with which
he governs and rewrites
the laws to suit himself. It's called United Russia.
It controls the federal parliament,
it controls all regional
parliaments and city councils, and yet
it has long been unpopular, and everyone
hates it. But it wins, and not even
so much because of falsification as because
you and I vote in a scattered way, while
Putin's people, the United Russia crowd, always vote the same way, and their
can-
didate always gets more votes. Our answer
is Smart Voting. For now, it's the best
tool we have to beat a United Russia
candidate.
Of course, none of this is easy or simple,
but Smart Voting works, and the
last elections in Moscow
proved it. In two months, there will be
real elections in as many as 31 regions,
with 66 different election
campaigns where Smart Voting
will be used. Either you and I ourselves
will get our friends, acquaintances,
relatives, and neighbors out to vote just as effectively
as Putin rounds up state employees, or
United Russia will win again. And here someone might
object and say, "Alexei, well, you
ignored and refused to recognize
the nationwide vote on resetting the presidential term limits,
and now you're trying to convince us that elections
in Novosibirsk, Cheboksary, and Tomsk
matter more, and that we should work ourselves to the bone for them." Yes,
these elections are much more important, because
there is at least some procedure there, there
are observers, candidates. Out of these 31
regions, there are about ten where United Russia
can actually be defeated—that is,
polling shows that if all
Putin's opponents vote strategically
using Smart Voting, then that's it: there will be no
ruling pro-Putin party there, and not a single
Putin-backed law will get pushed through there anymore.
It's clear that in order to preserve
its majority, the authorities will unleash
lawlessness everywhere, even worse than what happened in Moscow
last summer.
But this is a real struggle in which there can
be a real victory. So
register,
get everyone to register, and
get ready to become an election observer this
fall. We will need thousands
of observers across the country. And finally,
the last thing—the most obvious, the simplest,
the most effective—is what Putin fears
most of all:
the street.
Neither he, nor Mishustin, nor Medvedev, nor
Chubais, the Rotenbergs, Serdyukov, or Usmanov
will leave until we start taking to the
streets
by the hundreds of thousands and millions. Yes, they have
the police and the National Guard there, I know, but
hear me out. For me, for a long time now,
for several years, calling for a rally has meant
that I'll be at that rally for 10 minutes, and
then spend a month in a cell. Some people
get locked up not for a month, but for years. But this
is something we simply need to understand soberly and accept:
its inevitability. Putin's strategy is this: he
arrests 100 people for a month, imprisons
five people, and by doing so intimidates
Millions upon millions are being deprived of their own
future because they keep thinking, “What if?”
What if they haul me off to the police? Better that
they take me away than live like this for another twenty
years. And besides, they can’t arrest everyone. Well, they may
detain a few people, but if 500,000 people come out
what can they do about it? That is truly
the worst nightmare of Putin’s ministers:
that one day the people will finally understand that all this
Rosgvardiya (Russia’s National Guard), arrests, and intimidation are
just a soap bubble, until the first time
when a truly large number of people come out.
But in 2012, a lot of people did come out
and Putin got scared, and for a while
the elections became somewhat better.
They installed video cameras and so on. I
propose, I ask the Central
Election Commission to install web
cameras at all polling stations
across the country. We have more than 90,000 of them.
At every single one, and let them operate there
around the clock, day and night,
so that the country can see. Put everything on
the internet so that the country can see what
is happening around each specific ballot box,
and eliminate any possibility of fraud
on that front. But that fear passed long ago,
and they’ve grown brazen again. Just look—they’re already
proposing that elections be held like this,
over the course of a week and even on tree stumps
for all elections in Russia.
So in September, we need to go to
the polls and bring everyone out for Smart Voting
but if they steal the votes again, then we must go
into the streets and stand there for as long as we can. There is
no doubt that under the pretext of
the coronavirus, Putin banned any
mass gatherings all the way through the end of the year.
We need to act sensibly here.
The real peak of the epidemic is now, in July;
there may be a second wave, but by
September everything should ease
and normalize, and our right to gather
peacefully to express our views
must be restored
without any conditions or restrictions.
Of course, we all want change without
upheaval. We have supporters, they have
supporters; we compete for
votes. Some get a majority, some
a minority. Then in parliament everyone
argues and passes laws. That’s how it works in
normal, prosperous countries. But here,
it’s different.
Putin relies on a minority and says
to the majority:
“You are nobody. You have no voice. Your
candidates—I will never allow them onto the ballot. I
will stay in power for life because I have
Rosgvardiya (Russia’s National Guard), Solovyov (state TV propagandist Vladimir Solovyov), and Ella Pamfilova (head of Russia’s Central Election Commission).”
And there is only one answer to that:
You know, we have neither
Solovyov nor Pamfilova, but we do have
ourselves—several million people.
That is all we have: ourselves. And ourselves we will
present in the streets of our cities. Then
we’ll see what matters more. There is no other way.
We campaign, we defeat them at the polls;
if they do not let us participate in elections or
they falsify the results,
then we go out into the streets and achieve
our goal there. That is the plan to save Russia.