>> Absolute Albats.
>> Good evening. This is Echo of Moscow. This is
Yevgenia Albats. I am beginning our
program, the first one this year.
A program devoted to key politics,
the week's political events, the
events that will influence
politics in the coming weeks and months. I
apologize for the tautology. I
congratulate you all on the New Year, on
the holidays just passed, and I wish that you
may be happy. And I wish the same
to my guest, Alexei Anatolyevich
Navalny. Ah, Alexei, hello.
>> Hi. Hello, Zhenya. Thank you
very much. And the same to you.
>> Thank you. And 2017 was your year.
Of course, your presidential campaign was
both your personal success and a success
for the country, in which, thanks to you,
public politics returned. I congratulate you
on that.
>> You see how interesting that is right away. You
say: "It was my year, a great
success." And here I am sitting
as an unregistered candidate, and still
I keep hearing everyone say it's a success.
That shows just how corrupted politics in
our country has become, but nevertheless
it also says that you must not give up and
you have to keep doing what you're doing. That's all.
Did you really think,
did you really expect that you would be registered,
Alexei? Now, when
>> That was an explicitly stated goal. We
understood very well that they did not want
to let me into the election. And that became clear
in 2012, when they opened criminal cases against
me, and then passed
a law right away. And everyone wrote that it was
the "Navalny law," under which
convicted persons cannot run for office. But we
openly stated that we would try
to build political pressure of such a level
that they would be forced
to let me into the election, as happened in
the Moscow election in 2013.
Perhaps we built up too much
pressure. They saw it, and they were horrified by
the scale of our campaign, the number of
volunteers, the fact that this campaign was real,
not virtual. That worked against
us. They finally decided that
it was too scary to let us into the election.
>> What will happen to the headquarters now? They are in
eighty-four cities, I think,
or in eighty-four cities across Russia
including the so-called people's
headquarters, which we do not finance,
which people open themselves, they
will continue to operate in the mode of a voters'
strike. The most important thing that we
have created over this year, more than a year, is
this kind of real political
structure of influence. It's, well, not exactly
a party, but a proto-party movement.
It is in fact a genuinely large
opposition movement, the largest and
the only one created in recent
years, so of course we do not want
to lose it, and we will continue engaging in all
forms of politics. But right now our
main task is organizing
a voters' strike, that is,
an active boycott and a call for people not
to go to this election, while at the same time deploying such
a number of observers
that no one has ever
deployed before. And the Supreme Court, the presidium of the
Supreme Court, rejected your lawyers' appeal
against the Central Election Commission's refusal to register
you as a candidate for president of the Russian
Federation. And you've written that off.
Or do you believe you still have
a chance to force it through?
>> I didn't attend a single one of those court hearings when the
appeal was underway; I didn't even follow it.
Our lawyers did an excellent job and
the best job they possibly could. And
the law, legal right, and justice were all on
our side. But I understood perfectly well that
this judicial system—well, listen, these
are the same people who overturned my sentence in the
Kirovles case under ECHR (European Court of Human Rights) rulings and sent
it back for a new hearing. These
people jailed others in Soviet times for
anti-Soviet activity, and now they
imprison people who speak out there,
uh, who say something against our
obscurantism. So I have absolutely no
illusions whatsoever about either the
Supreme Court or the Constitutional
Court. We're doing all this because
the truth and, as I already said, the law are on
our side, and we will keep doing it
going forward, but we have no illusions. We have entered
strike mode; we are going to boycott the
election. And that is our
only strategy.
>> On January 28, 2018, you
announced that this would be a strike. What
exactly will that be?
>> It will be a public action. A strike is
really a process. As soon as the Central Election Commission
issued the decision that I would not be allo
strike-related—sorry, I'm interrupting you,
a strike movement is
a process, whereas a strike is still
some kind of one-time act. No,
>> well, a strike is a one-time act. You're at
a workplace, they don't pay your wages, and
you say: "I'm not going to
work anymore." It's the same with us. We are citizens
of Russia. We are being forced or persuaded
to go to the polls, but we are not being given
political competition. We have no one to
vote for. So we say: "We will not
go to the election." And this will be a
process in which we discuss it. We
argue with our opponents or
strikebreakers, who say: "No,
you still have to go. Well then, we'll go
instead of you." So this is
still a process—a complicated
political process. And we will take part in it.
And specifically on January 28,
taking this opportunity once again, I call on
everyone to take part in this action. It
will be—well, we will call on people to come out
into the streets and, uh, including there in the streets,
to make their attitude toward these
elections clear—elections that are not really elections.
These are "elections" in quotation marks, and to demand that
we want real elections, because
a situation in which there have been no real elections
for 18 years has led not only to
political problems, but also to
economic ones. People are getting poorer.
>> In 2011, when you, uh, came out with the slogan
to vote, to vote for your favorite—for
any party except the party of, uh, crooks and
thieves, it was clear, it was completely clear to everyone
how to act.
I myself remember voting then for
Mironov's A Just Russia party. And ten times
afterward I was asked: "Was it right
for you to vote that way? Just look at
that Mironov." And I told them:
"Look at Dmitry Gudkov, at
Gudkov Sr., at Ilya Ponomaryov,
who were the only force of
resistance in the first year of the existence
of that Duma, that convocation. Now, to be honest,
I frankly don't see what the
course of action is here. People still need to understand: one,
two, three. So tell me: what is the one-two-three here?
>> In 2011, our strategy was clear.
In fact, it didn't matter whom you
voted for. The main thing was that you voted
against United Russia. There's no need
to justify yourself. You voted for
the Communists, for A Just Russia, for
Yabloko. It didn't matter. You
voted against United Russia so that
the level of, uh, United Russia's control over the vote
would fall enough that these
pitiful, feeble parties could
revive and oppose United
Russia in the State Duma. And that is
what happened. And only thanks to
falsification
was the Kremlin able to preserve this—
to preserve United Russia's majority in
the State Duma. Those falsifications then
led to those very protests
of 2011–2012. So
it was the right strategy. But we need
to recognize that in all the subsequent
years the Kremlin was preparing to
fight this strategy, because
with this strategy we were beating them. That is exactly
why all the most disgusting,
for example, laws were introduced precisely by
the Communists and by A Just Russia.
That's why people made exactly those
complaints to you that you were just talking about.
In other words, they arranged everything so that you would have
no second-choice candidate or party.
And now, trying to think in terms of
the 2011 strategy is simply
pointless. Here and now we have
a specific political situation in which
the Kremlin has simply programmed the
election in such a way that
Putin is guaranteed to get between 73 and
76 percent. That's my forecast. And nothing can
happen in this election that would prevent
that from happening. So right now
the best strategy is this. First, second,
third. First: do not go to the polls.
Second, to urge everyone not to go to the
elections. Third, to lower turnout by every
possible means. Fourth, to organize
monitoring so that they cannot falsify the
turnout figures. That is precisely why
the Kremlin is now so frantically working on
turnout. You didn’t happen to watch the video that
Roizman released just the day before yesterday, did you?
>> I did, of course, since Leonid
Volkov tweeted it.
>> And rightly so. After all, the mayor
of Russia’s fourth-largest city, he
describes very accurately how they will
artificially boost turnout for them. We currently have quite a lot
of insider information and documents. I am sure
that all these documents will soon be published,
documents showing how, through
methods like door-to-door canvassing,
voting outside polling stations,
and absentee certificates, how
the Kremlin will frantically drag up turnout,
because they understand perfectly well: nobody
wants to go to these elections, and they need
to create the appearance of legitimacy. Of course, this
already answers your next
question. What turnout percentage would deprive
the authorities of legitimacy? There is no answer to that
question, because it is not measured
in percentages; it is measured in people’s perceptions.
Right now, a man is walking down Novy Arbat (a major avenue in central Moscow)
and saying to himself: “Well, a lot of people
voted for Putin. I still don’t like him, but
let him stay in office.” And tomorrow he will be walking
along, and people will be telling him:
“No, he cannot stay there,
it’s all fake.” That is the moment when
legitimacy will collapse, but it
cannot be measured in percentages. So right now, uh, we need
to act simply, well, excuse me for
such a banality, according to conscience. If these
elections are shameless and indecent, then one
must not go to them. And we must actively
persuade everyone else not to go either.
>> The theory of electoral behavior says
that a voter, uh, when choosing whom
to vote for, is more likely to vote for
someone who is capable of reaching the goal.
What you are offering
voters is something
irrational,
you understand? Well,
>> No, no, I wouldn’t say that—you
are contradicting yourself, aren’t you? There, the
voter,
when deciding whom to vote for, would like
to vote for someone who can reach
the goal. Or at least someone who declares that
they are moving toward that goal. But here, everyone who
is not Putin has said outright
many times in public: “Actually, we do not
want to be president, we understand
our own insignificance, we will lose, we do not
want to do anything.” But we are running in order
to, well, and then comes a list of vague reasons—
to say some important words, or get something,
or something else. So why, then,
should a voter take part in that? And
it turns out that we are talking ourselves into it
and trying to find some pretext,
some rational explanation,
some mathematical justification for a simple
political fact, which is that
this is not an election, and the result will in
any case be 73 to 76 percent. I can already
tell you now what
the results of this election will be.
>> Tell us.
>> I will. Let’s do this—
let’s make a bet when you invite me back. Next
time, we will conduct our first
poll in January, and then I will give you
a substantiated forecast. For now, my forecast
is as follows: first place
goes to Putin with 73–76 percent. Second place goes to
Zhirinovsky, at 10 to 13 percent.
Third place goes to Grudinin, at 10 to
12 percent. And everyone else will be somewhere
between 1 and 2 percent. Yavlinsky, Sobchak, and Titov.
>> So you are
predicting
a different result from Levada’s? Lev
Gudkov, the head of the Levada Center, was on my
program. Their forecast for Sobchak is around
7 percent.
>> That is simply ridiculous. I mean,
listen, Prokhorov got 7 percent
in 2012, when there was
enthusiasm, when people went to the polls
and voted for Prokhorov. Back then people were not saying about him
what they said about A Just Russia (a Russian political party):
“I went to vote.” We all
were saying, urging: “Let’s go to the
elections.” And since then, first of all,
it became obvious how we were deceived with this
Prokhorov story, what complete
nonsense it all was. And the country is completely different now, the regime is
different too. So of course, those candidates
who are running now, with the exception of
Zhirinovsky and Grudinin, have absolutely no
chance whatsoever of getting
numbers above 5 percent.
>> Pavel Grudinin is the only one you have
spoken positively about lately.
At least, I
watched your Thursday program on
the Navalny 2018 channel.
>> On the Navalny Live channel, not Navalny
2018. Sorry. Uh, you spoke about
Grudinin, um, with a great deal of
sympathy, although, by the way, he, uh, about you
rather...
>> Well, he is not supposed to now. That is
also an interesting fact, because before
all this Grudinin nomination business, when people asked him about me,
he would also say, though rarely, “I am not
acquainted with him, I do not know his
work,” but he always spoke of Grudinin with sympathy,
whereas now he is not allowed to.
as expected, and so I view him somewhat sympathetically.
He stopped talking, which is also quite
a telling thing. But, uh, I can
say that his recent public appearances
before his nomination were
fairly appealing to me. He was kind of
the sort who, uh, tells it like it is, as
they say. Well, his biography, of course,
taken as a whole... He was a deputy from
United Russia for 12 years, but at least he looks like
an actual living person. But nevertheless, unfortunately,
it doesn’t look like he’s running
any kind of campaign, because if he were
running one, then probably he could
claim second place. As it is, I’m
afraid he’ll even lose to Zhirinovsky
(Vladimir Zhirinovsky, the nationalist politician). By the way, we separately
want to conduct a sociological
study on whether people even know
that it’s not Zyuganov who was nominated, but
Grudinin. And my assumption
is that even now
nobody knows that. He simply
isn’t doing anything. Well, look,
what’s the date today?
>> The eighth,
>> Right?
And our plan was that if I got
registered, I’d start right from the first day.
We even calculated whether we could afford
a plane so I could fly around and hold
two rallies in every city, because
this is your moment.
>> What do you mean, afford it?
>> Well, we wanted to—we were calculating whether
you’d have enough money to rent
a plane. Because you can’t do it on regular
commercial flights.
>> Oh sure, with white leather
seats. Well, we couldn’t even afford one without seats
at all, so
we dropped the idea, dropped it. If you want
to campaign in a country this size,
you need a plane. We couldn’t make it work,
so we flew everywhere on regular
commercial flights.
But that’s not the point. In any case, starting from
January 2, I would have gone into a mode of
speaking twice in every city,
holding rallies nonstop, because
this is your chance. Until the fifteenth,
everyone is sitting at home. Catch them
while they’re still there, collect signatures, campaign,
drag them to rallies—they’ve got nothing else to do.
Does it look like any of the candidates are doing that,
for example Grudinin? No,
it doesn’t. That suggests that, well, what kind of
percentage can they even
hope for if they aren’t even taking
the most basic steps? Instead, he’s going around
apartment blocks collecting votes.
I think in Samara. Going door to door
doesn’t suit a candidate. We just recently saw
how a
wonderfully competitive
presidential campaign in the United States was run, where
an outsider actually became president.
They held meetings with voters,
they held rallies, big rallies.
You know, one of the reasons why
people say Hillary Clinton didn’t
become president is that she didn’t hold enough
meetings in—where was it? In Wisconsin,
yes, she writes about it in her book. So, in other words,
>> Not Wisconsin at all—Philadelphia.
>> Exactly. So in the Midwest,
yes,
>> it’s a candidate’s job to visit cities intensively
and hold, well, big or
relatively big meetings, depending on what
they can manage. Not go door to door just
to get photographed somewhere.
That also needs to be done, sure, in between
the big meetings, because otherwise
there won’t really be any actual campaigning. And
most importantly, why all these candidates—
we started by talking about Grudinin—
whom I still, generally speaking,
view with some sympathy—why he is not
a real candidate, aside from the fact that he
still
>> And why do you feel sympathetic toward him?
>> Because I watched his
speeches, and he’s an absolute left-wing populist.
>> Right now, he...
>> Well, the only thing that saves him for you,
the only thing bringing you together, is this slogan: "I’ll lock up
everyone."
I haven’t heard him on Solovyov’s show (a major Russian political talk show), so I can’t
say anything specifically about his latest
public appearances,
but I did listen to him speak at
all those forums—the forum, what’s it called,
the Moscow Economic
Forum. There it was him, Potapenko, and
several other vivid personalities. That farmer,
Melnichenko,
>> Yes, he was saying that there are no real
food products at all, that all of it is made from...
And Grudinin in particular spoke very well
in defense of business interests, especially small
business. It was quite interesting.
He was one of the entrepreneurs
who wasn’t afraid to criticize the authorities,
although he avoided criticizing Putin himself. But
even so, based on that,
he was at least engaged in some political
activity, and in recent years he
had been involved in at least some kind of political activity
and had been speaking out, so I do feel some
sympathy toward him. But why
are none of them real candidates now? If you
want to win votes, then you have to
criticize Putin, Vladimir
Vladimirovich, because his rule in
Russia is a personalist—am I saying that
word correctly?—a personalist regime,
which he established. If you want to get
the percentages—take those percentage points away from him.
That’s the only chance: at least aim
for, well, ideally, a second round, for
some kind of double-digit result, for broad
support. It’s not about trying to mobilize
someone on Facebook or through
one of Solovyov’s programs. What’s needed is, well, excuse
my language, to go after Putin hard so that
voters peel away from him and
come to you. But not one of them
is doing that. That was the main
condition for allowing them to run. So the campaign is not
real, and going to these elections is
shameful.
>> The only action you’re proposing
is observers. You’re
recruiting them—I mean, what do you mean
the only action I’m proposing?
I’m proposing
a boycott. No, no, no, let me explain. Fine,
since you’re playing dumb—though I know you’re not
actually dumb—but still, since you’re
pretending to be, excuse me, dense,
I’ll explain: compared with all the
other candidates, who haven’t
done a damn thing and haven’t done a damn thing
over the past year, I am proposing
a boycott, active campaigning, I don’t
know, putting up leaflets in apartment building entrances, we
will print newspapers and carry out this very
campaign, this organizational work,
so that people do not go to the polls. We will
organize observers—not 20, not
30, not 1,000, not 5,000, and not only in
major cities, the way everyone else does, but
we’ll put tens of thousands of people in place across the whole country.
That’s a gigantic organizational
effort.
>> So, March 18, 2018. An observer—well,
you’ll have to, after all, get them all
registered. It’s not exactly
a simple matter.
>> No, logistically this is an
incredibly difficult task. In
fact, no matter what anyone says,
real observers have never
been deployed in numbers greater than, well,
20,000 people. Never. No one.
The Communists claim that they
covered all 90,000 polling
stations. But we know how that
works. They just hand over the paperwork to
the administrations. The administrations put
teachers, United Russia people, whoever they want there. We
want real, genuine
observers in place, including in places
where they have never existed before—in the Volga region,
even in the North Caucasus, including
in Dagestan in particular. This task
is astonishingly difficult, astonishingly
expensive. We understand that the Kremlin will, and
the wonderful Ella Pamfilova will
resist this tooth and nail, but
we are going to do it. So when you say
that all you’re proposing is election monitoring—
Yes, in fact we’re doing all the work for all
the candidates and for the entire political
system. I’m glad you used the word
“we,” because in the News interview I
kept reading “I, I, I.” So after all
you’re not alone, right, Ash? You somehow really
>> Well, I think maybe your
reporters changed my “we” into “I.”
Well, I say both “I” and “we.” But of course, and
especially now, in this voter strike
mode, it is “we.” It is those people
whom they decided to throw out of
the political system. I’m simply one of
those who publicly represent these people’s interests.
I go on Echo of Moscow (a Russian radio station) on their behalf
and speak here. But of course, it
would be completely impossible to do all
of our campaign without the people who
across the country, in the overwhelming
majority of cases—99.9%—
do it entirely for free. The demographics
of the people who make up your
volunteers, those who were ready to sign
for you, those who work in the campaign offices—
do you have a sense of who they are?
>> Residents of big cities, educated residents
of big cities, who have access to
the internet, who use
the internet. Most often they’re 25 to 34—that’s
the core—but there are also quite a lot of
older people. It’s hard to calculate all
of this, because many of these people
don’t register in any
databases at all. We have 200,000 people
registered as volunteers. And based on
these people, now that we’ve got
a little time, we’ll conduct
a detailed study of who they are.
It’s interesting to understand: are they center-left,
center-right, what are their views
on various different areas
of life besides Putin and corruption? So
we’ll do all that and we’ll understand
them better. But for now—
>> Somewhere you said that Sobchak is, basically,
a classic representative of, well,
expensive, successful,
uh, pampered Moscow. And you are a candidate—
you are a candidate of the country as a whole, that you’ve
traveled around the cities and now, uh, you
understand things much better.
>> I didn’t say it exactly like that, but you’ve
put it well. Well,
then tell me this: how are the people you
met across Russia—during your
rallies, in campaign offices, and so
on—how do they differ from this
pampered Moscow?
>> First of all, I never said “pampered Moscow,”
and there is no such
thing as a pampered Moscow.
It’s an important part, and, well, this is something I
understood before too. After all, I mean, I...
I am a resident of the outskirts of Moscow, yes, and in
that sense I certainly never
belonged to any kind of elite or bohemian
Moscow circle. So I always understood
that this was not the case. Now it is absolutely not
the case. Moscow, despite the fact that
all the money is concentrated here, is
full of people who live from
paycheck to paycheck, rent apartments
with their last money, and do not have enough money
for anything. City Hall says that
the average salary in Moscow is 60,000 or
80,000 rubles. That does not correspond
to reality in the slightest. There are
huge numbers of people here, but we
would more likely be talking about 35,000 to 42,000
rubles. But we know this from the same
social surveys that we conduct. But I do not
claim that right now I can
give a truly representative
figure.
>> But when it comes to the regions, we know for certain
that they differ from Moscow in that
first of all, they are still much
poorer. Rosstat (Russia’s federal statistics agency), for example, gives its data on
average salaries based, in effect, on 38% of
the population—on employees of the largest
corporations and public-sector workers, whose
salaries are easy for them to
calculate. Everyone else is, to one degree or another,
actually hidden from them. And
salaries there are much lower. And I know
for a fact: you go to a
region where the official average wage
is, say, 31,000 rubles. You start asking
people, and they will tell you
their salaries are 22, 20, 19, 14, 15 thousand. And
that is why the regions, unlike Moscow,
even the biggest cities, even places like
St. Petersburg, Yekaterinburg, or Novosibirsk—
are, first and foremost,
about poverty. Second, there is hopelessness,
there are no prospects at all. In Moscow, at least,
there are still some prospects. You meet
people who earn high
salaries, say 100,000 rubles. And you
understand that you might be able to find
that kind of job too, probably, if you try hard enough.
Well, if you are young enough and
active enough. But in the regions, that does not exist; there,
no matter how hard you try, no matter how
talented, smart, educated, and willing
you are to work three jobs at once,
your ceiling will be 45,000 to 60,000. That is it,
there are no prospects. This is the
most important thing about the country in general and about
our election campaign, really.
Because we are precisely
talking to those people and relying
on those who have realized that
the lack of economic prospects in their
lives is connected to this
disgusting, hopeless
political regime.
>> Yeltsin’s electorate, when
back in the late 1980s he was entering
big-time politics, had a very female
electoral face. Women loved him,
they desired him. And when you
look at the crowd standing
in front of you in the cities, what kind of faces do you see?
Young, male ones.
Women like us too, but only a little. Uh,
the research we are doing, as
I already said, we will do in more detail, but
for now, based on the statistics we have from
internet traffic, we can see that,
of course, there are certain problems with
the female audience, simply because
our means of delivering, of getting
the message, the information out are very, well,
skewed in a particular direction.
>> Uh, sorry, I just do not want us to be
cut off. The news and ads are coming up on Echo (Echo of Moscow radio station).
And the regions are switching over.
>> They are about to start the local
news there, you understand? It is a real shame.
>> So it does not matter that we ran over here,
they just pressed a button there, and that was it.
>> And that is the problem, and so we will have to go out
like this, from the capital studio microphone.
announced that it had successfully repelled an attack
by drones on our country’s bases in
Syria. The ministry’s statement says
that terrorists, using aerial
vehicles, attempted on January 6 to attack
the Khmeimim air base and the naval base in
Tartus.
>> When you were talking about Grudinin
works
the BBC broadcasting company reported
the pen is not writing. Could someone bring me a pen?
In an interview with the RIA Novosti agency, Ncevich
said that he sees attempts by militants
to attack Russian military
facilities in Syria.
>> Well, 11,000. Hello, everyone.
>> Estonia will for the first time spend on defense
more.
>> The last time I looked, when I was watching you,
there were 11,000 people watching
us. Watch not only Echo of Moscow, but also
subscribe to Navalny’s channel.
Advertisement
of spending on defense. The prime minister said that
on the contrary
the last time
of all time. Not only do I not remember. I
do not think I have ever actually watched you live,
but it seemed to me there were
106,000 people watching. Could that be right? Did you
>> We have had times when more than 100,000 watched,
but those were some extraordinary cases. I mean,
my last broadcast had something like
19,000 or 20,000 online at peak. So
for us—well then explain to me how to understand
>> Dud says that what matters is how many people
are watching, not how many are subscribed.
How many? Look, there are several
metrics. A criminal case has been opened over
intentional destruction.
>> The first metric is the number of subscribers
a channel has. We have 416,000 there, but that
is important, though not really the most important thing.
The second is how many people
watched your video.
>> Do you have a million subscribers? No,
>> no, we have two channels. One has about
1.6 million. On the live-stream channel
we have 416,000 subscribers. But the most
important metric is how many
views your video gets. In other words,
when we do a live broadcast, it matters
who is watching. You have to understand, I go on air at
9:30, and by then all of Siberia
has already dropped off—they're all asleep. In the Far
East it's already morning, and even in the
Urals it's already too late. So only the
European part of Russia can watch
live online. The most important metric is
the total number of views, yes, because
most often people wake up the next morning,
go to work, do whatever
they need to do, then put on
their headphones and start watching YouTube.
>> And you can see that they do it specifically during
working hours.
>> Why aren't they working? This is more important than
any job. If they're watching my broadcast
during working hours, good for them. It's
more important than any job.
>> Alyosh, that's awful.
>> Oh, come on, 40 minutes is fine,
>> right? Well
>> a person can't spend work time watching something
that
>> attention: Morning Turn.
>> They can, they can
indeed,
>> anyone can watch for 40 minutes or an hour.
Miss Morning Turn from
8 to 11.
>> Because not everyone watches the whole
broadcast. We add time codes, and they
click around and watch. They watch the most interesting
20 minutes out of an hour.
Sergei Aleksansona.
>> So you check what performs
well and what doesn't.
>> Unfortunately, we can't see which ones—well, actually, no,
we can see that too. We can see the peaks on the graph
as well. Of course we check. I mean,
we try to analyze it. The most
important thing for us is retention: how many total
views there were and how long people watched
a particular video. Our retention on
my show is 19 minutes. That's
pretty decent. If 300,000 or 400,000 people
watch a broadcast for 19 minutes, well, I'm
satisfied. That's excellent.
Depth of engagement.
Broadcast retention is called leaders of states.
Sergei Buntman is joined by
Academician Andrei Khazin, a member of the commission under the President
of the Russian Federation on state
awards. *Diletanty* on
Thursday after 9:00 p.m.
The weekly roundup program *Scanner* with Olga
Bychkova, produced jointly with the
Interfax news agency. Listen on Fridays after
10:00 p.m. We discuss the most-mentioned
events and public figures of the week according to
Interfax. The program *Scanner* airs
Fridays after 10:00 p.m.
You, scrolling post after post and liking
all those cat pictures—better keep up with the news
in your VKontakte feed. Read blogs
that matter while sitting there with your smartphone.
Subscribe to the public page of Moskvy (Echo of Moscow)
—our community.
Echo of Moscow.
>> Full Alba.
This is Echo of Moscow. At the microphone is Yevgenia Bats
and in the Echo of Moscow studio is Alexei Navalny.
Alexei, I interrupted you. We went to
the news break when you were talking about the demographics
of the people who are there, who stand in front of
you. And you were saying that the female
share is smaller because our
methods of reaching people—well, we rely
primarily on YouTube right now. There,
in general, the audience skews more male. I've
spoken with various channel owners and authors,
including ones that are not
political, and yes, there is a male
audience bias there, and that has an effect. But
what's very encouraging is that we could actually see
how the situation changed over the course of this
year. I started my latest tour,
it lasted from September 15, and then
in the final days before registration it was really
clear that there were more and more,
first, women in the audience, and second,
many more older
people. That's great, that's excellent.
It works. It gets through.
>> I was going to ask you this at the end,
but since we've started talking
about
your channels, you're creating television.
That's completely obvious. And are you
planning to keep doing this after March 18
professionally, to create
some kind of, I don't know, television
holding company on YouTube?
>> I don't want to do that, and I would never
have done it in my life if there had been
other channels. But simply—where else can I
even hear news about
myself now? If you and I were discussing
this three years ago, we could have named
20 media outlets that could report on
the latest FBK investigation. A year ago
it would already have been 10 outlets, and now it's
countable on the fingers of one hand. And among them,
as for the really major media outlets, the ones that have
there are some that have instant reach,
there are 100,000 people there—that’s one Echo of Moscow (a Russian radio station) audience,
in Moscow, where I am right now. And in
that sense, the information space
around us has narrowed. That’s why we were
forced to create all these channels. I
record videos, which I’m not very good at
doing. And we’re constantly experimenting.
Our experiments aren’t always
successful either, but I’m tremendously grateful to the people
who are on YouTube and are watching us
right now, who support all these
experiments of ours. Of course, we’re not going to build any kind of
media holding. That takes money,
>> But you are doing it, you do have programs,
>> Well, we do have a program, basically, everything
already makes it look like you’re becoming the face of Alfa-Bank.
One could take that to mean we’re already talking
about a fee of a million dollars,
so, uh,
>> Well, you know, to somehow initiate that, you understand,
it would be quite difficult for me to become
the face of some bank, and there’s absolutely no
desire to do that. Starting this year, we’ll begin
careful experiments with advertising on
some programs. Well, we don’t know how
to do that. We’re forced to,
>> We’ll be hiring, of course we will.
So, 2018 will, uh, be the year
when this direction of ours in
creating different kinds of
well, I’m even afraid to call it television,
communication—will really take off. We’ll be very actively
experimenting. But you remember
how at one point our experiment
was interrupted when
FSB officers (Russia’s security service) came and took absolutely everything out of
our office. Literally all, all the electronic
equipment. And only thanks to the people
who watch us were we able to raise
the money and buy everything again. So we
understand that, most likely, they’ll
keep doing that in the future, but we simply
have no other choice. We have to make
these programs and all sorts of things like that, even though we don’t
really know how to do it, and we understand that it
looks terribly clumsy and strange. Uh, but
we do it. You know, we’ve known each other for so long
already, Alyosha, that I remember when you
and Masha Gaidar were holding debates at the Bilingua club
Bilingua. Uh-huh.
>> And then they were even going to invite you
to the TV Center channel. Were you ready to go
there?
>> No, they actually did invite me, but after the first
pilot episode, they fired me.
>> And Vladislav Surkov was categorically,
they say, against it. He immediately understood,
>> In fact, that’s why I
>> was seen as a danger. So
listen, the progress is enormous. From
the Bilingua club to a million-subscriber channel on
>> Well, you know the saying, necessity is the mother of invention.
We have no money and no
means of communication, so we’re
resourceful—we’re forced to be
that way.
>> You keep playing yourselves down somehow,
judging by the kind of
investigations you do. And
>> No, when it comes to investigations, I’m not
playing anything down. We do them better than anyone else in the
country. That’s absolutely certain. And
on the contrary, people keep criticizing me for
bragging too much about it. But our
television product, of course,
our video product, these live-streaming
channels—I’m also very proud of them, that
we made them without being
professionals, but, frankly speaking,
there’s still plenty to work on.
>> Ah, I won’t argue with that. Uh, and I want to ask you
about the people around
you. You’ve acquired
two, so to speak, spokespersons,
Vladimir Milov and Sergei Aleksashenko,
who constantly appear as
your representatives. Uh, Sergei
Aleksashenko more on matters concerning
the economy, though not only that. And as for
Vladimir Milov, I see he’ll be
debating on Echo as well with Maxim
Katz about whether to boycott
the elections or not. Uh, both of
these remarkable people—they are
certainly talented—but there are
reputational issues. One has
issues of a moral nature; the other has issues connected
to the days of GKOs (Russian short-term government bonds), the Fimaco offshore company, if
that means anything to you, and so on. You are
someone who is very exacting
about how people earn
their money, what they do, and you’ve
destroyed more than one reputation, including
political reputations. And yet you choose
as your spokespersons
people against whom accusations can be made. At
the very least, on the internet you can read
quite a few complaints about these people. Explain
your choice.
>> Zhenya, you know, the person you can read the most about on
the internet is me. And
in that sense, I’m very proud that both
Aleksashenko and
>> Because somewhere it was written about you that you
tried to steal someone else’s wife.
>> Well, that doesn’t interest me, honestly
speaking, yes. I don’t think radio listeners would be
interested in that story. You know it,
I know it. Unfor—unfortunately, we
all know all that. But all of that concerns wives,
husbands, and whatever they do
somewhere. I’m immensely proud that both
Milov and Aleksashenko, who don’t
get a single kopek from us, never have
received anything, and yet have actively
started helping us in the campaign. Milov has also, in
addition to that, traveled around
...the country. Doesn't reputation matter to you?
>> Reputation matters to me very much.
And of course, without reputation, uh, none of our
movement is possible. But I believe that
Milov and Alex Sashenko are wonderful
people one can work with. Everyone has
a difficult personality, and everyone has a long
history of conflicts. I am speaking only about
reputation—about what you could probably
find on the internet, since you
really do the best investigations in the country.
I read all the information on
the internet. I believe that Milov and Alex
Sashenko are the people with whom we can
and should work. I value them greatly and
am very grateful to them. They are, in fact,
high-level professionals. And they do these
things with Milov. Good Lord, I argued with him for
so many years. You can read how he
called me every name under the sun there, for example,
during the mayoral campaign. The anti-Semitic
posts are very well remembered.
>> Well, I don't remember anything like that, but still
there is a varied history
of relationships with these people. We are
in fact, uh, building communication with
all normal people. And they, and in fact
we have equal relationships—everyone with
everyone. They are not obliged to report to me.
I cannot give them instructions, but these
two, and many other people, help us
sincerely. I am very grateful to absolutely
everyone who works with us. Well, that is
life. There are different people and different
relationships here. Therefore, as of today,
I will repeat once again and
emphasize: I am very proud that both
of them are working with us.
>> I see.
>> Understood. Now I have a second question for
you. In your program, since
it is your program, and really,
it does not matter who wrote it, you propose
as the form of government in a future
beautiful Russia
a presidential-parliamentary republic.
Georgia tried that, and it
ended badly.
It was enough for Ivanishvili to come
in after Saakashvili, and democracy there
declined sharply.
And they tried it in Ukraine, and
it ended badly twice. And despite all the
declarations about the United States, all of this continues
there just fine. No, the United States
is not a presidential-parliamentary
republic.
>> That is not true, because the United States is
a classic presidential republic.
And we, by the way, are not, uh,
a super-presidential republic, as you
say. Under the constitution, we, so to
speak, copied a version of the Fifth
Republic of France, where the president is not
the head of the executive branch, but
is the head
>> the head of state. Well, that is exactly
a super-presidential republic. But, Zhenya,
I want to say thank you for this question,
it is important, because this kind of
practical political science here does not have
much meaning. Under the constitution, we
copied
something from the Fifth Republic of France.
In reality, we are
I do not even know, some kind of
Latin American—not quite a dictatorship anymore,
but an autocracy. Belarus, on paper,
is one thing; in practice, it is something quite
different. The Soviet constitution, as
is well known, was also quite
democratic, and the Soviet criminal procedure
code was quite advanced and
modeled on the best, uh, examples. That is not
of great importance. The most important thing we
say in the program is that the powers of the
president must be curtailed and
redistributed in favor of parliament. The
guarantee that this whole system will not later
break down and that there will not be a usurpation
of power by a new president—a bad
Navalny, an evil one, or someone else—must
be the judicial system. In Georgia,
nothing worked out because, unfortunately,
judicial reform was not carried out, and
control over it remained with the
president for the sake of such declared
good intentions. Well, right now we will
jail corrupt officials, jail
bad traffic cops, and so on. But nevertheless,
they kept the judicial system
for themselves. Therefore, when another
president came, using that same judicial
system he simply jailed
the previous authorities. And this is extremely
important: that a new President Navalny,
for example, under a favorable scenario,
would voluntarily give up control over the judicial
system, which would greatly complicate
the carrying out of reforms, would greatly complicate
practical work, because shadowy
figures would begin influencing the judicial
system—oligarchs, certain groups,
and so on. But you gave it up, right? You cannot
call anyone. Even if you
pick up the phone and call, they tell you to get lost
on the other end of the line. That is the most
important thing. Therefore, based on
practical experience, based on many
conversations with various people, uh,
and there is always debate—you do not
agree with this, someone else does, but I
believe that what Russia needs now is
a parliamentary-presidential republic with
a very strong, independent judicial
system, which is what will create balance.
Ukraine.
>> Ukraine
>> Ukraine also went down that path
of a presidential-parliamentary republic.
Let's spell this out.
>> You're just like Putin. You keep wanting to
drag Ukraine into our conversation.
Let's spell this out and say that a
presidential-parliamentary republic
is a system in which there is a head of the executive
branch, and there is the legislature, parliament,
which can, well,
impeach the head of the executive branch
and so on. The clearest example is,
of course, France, which, as we know,
mm, had its last French Revolution
in 1830, and which has gone through a long and
remarkable path, but there is no other
successful example like it. Ukraine
tried to do this. We can see how
Poroshenko is now splendidly being broken over the
rack. And we can see
the main reason why this does not work
in Ukraine. And the main reason, one of the
main reasons for this kind of political
failure of reforms in Russia, this attempt to build
democracy, is the oligarchs. The oligarchs — the fact
that they control absolutely everything in
Ukraine; in that sense they control
an even larger share of the economy, they are even
more corrupt, venal, and
cynical than in Russia. And, of course, this is
a crucial factor that adds
a very significant shade
to this abstract political science discussion of ours,
which we are having.
>> It isn't abstract. If you look
at the 15 former republics of the Soviet Union,
you will see that two or three republics
of the former coun- former republics
of the Baltics — Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia —
went with the parliamentary model, as did
absolutely, with one exception,
all the countries of Europe, while the other, well,
12, including Russia, went down the path of a
presidential republic, yes, or
a model in which the president is the head
of state.
>> Well, they usurped power not
because they chose that path, but
because they simply controlled
the judicial system, seized the media, and
so on. The essence of presidential power
is that the winner takes it all. That is why in
the political section of our program we
from the very beginning emphasize
that the president's term of office, his
powers in general, should be
delegated toward parliament, in order
to break this pattern, so that jailing someone arbitrarily becomes impossible.
Could I do it or not? And I have no desire
to jail Albats. But if I were suddenly to seize
power and, because you, Zhenya, brought some
Ukraine into our conversation, wanted
to jail you for that, I would not be able
to do it, because an honest court would
acquit you. And I would be
impeached for having tried
to imprison an innocent person. That's
all. That's how it should work. And that's how it
will work in a normal country.
>> Well, basically, I'm just saying that I
want to understand your views clearly.
So, after all, you are
a supporter of a presidential system,
a presidential-parliamentary one. I believe
that at this stage of Russia's development, well,
again, we are not discussing this
in the abstract; we are discussing what
to do the very next day. That's what they said
in Ukraine.
>> And now Saakashvili is doing the same, running
through the streets, just as Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin tells me the same thing:
why are you so obsessed with
Ukraine? There are many
other examples. We are talking about the fact that
there is now a specific situation in Russia,
and how it should be resolved. And I
am saying that we need to begin by
drastically reducing the powers of the president.
And you do not want
to hear that, but instead you've latched onto some
piece of paper that says
presidential-parliamentary or
parliamentary-presidential, and around
that some kind of pointless debate is going on.
I don't want to cite any examples,
because all of this is abstract
political science, Zhenya. Any example can
be interpreted this way or
that way. It's all just juggling
geography and some textbooks of
history. And there is no truth in that. I
am talking about the reality that
objectively exists, and how it should
be changed for the better.
>> Okay. Well, if a rational voter
reads political platforms — and you know, that's
the kind of product you
are offering to the voter — where... when
you invited me onto this program, I
assumed there would at least be
a certain level of my personal
safety here. But now you want
me to die laughing when you say that
large numbers of voters
actually read them. Nobody reads those
sections of party platforms. We write them; our
platform is the best, but people are simply not interested in these
tiny distinctions and all these little games
of wording at all.
Okay. Bokrev, Alex, Alexei, unfortunately
you were not allowed to take part in the election.
That was predictable. For that reason,
for the first time I will not go vote. What are you
going to do next? Will you take part
in other elections, for example for mayor or
for parliament, or prepare for 2024?
>> Well, personally I do not plan to take part in
the mayoral election, but of course I... well, why
Is that what needs to be done? I mean, uh, I want
to use that remarkable
political system of influence that we
have created to make
the authorities reckon with us, run around,
take part in election after election—that
would simply be indecent toward
the voters. If I wanted to become
a candidate in the mayoral election, well, then I
should honestly say: "Guys, I
am running in the mayoral election. I'm going into it, I'm
building some kind of system. This is how it should
be organized." But to suddenly, right before
the election, jump in—as everything here
usually happens—and say, "Oh, and also
me, pick me, I can get 7%,"
what the hell is the point of that? I don't want to
do that, but I believe that in every
election we need to participate, if
they let us in. And if they don't let us in,
then we have to look for other options.
Alexei Venediktov suggested
that you—well, this is Alexei
>> mayor, but nevertheless here he is the editor-in-chief
editor-in-chief. In the mayoral election, will you, um,
support Ilya Yashin as a candidate? Is that
really the case? Do you think Ilya
will run?
>> I—well, I think that Ilya is currently doing
an absolutely tremendous job specifically in
Moscow with Moscow voters. That
is, he's not just doing a wonderful job
meeting with these people and dealing with
housing and utilities issues, social benefits recipients, and
everything else—he's really fighting on the
front lines, actually. And he's also doing all sorts of
impressive political things too, like his
recent event, when he
went head-to-head with the mayor's office. But I haven't
discussed that either with Yashin or with anyone else. I
am not even thinking about it. Besides, the election is
still a long way off, first of all. I know that I will not
be taking part in it. Everything else is
secondary for me right now. I am focused on
the presidential election, but
naturally, I will support whichever candidate
is doing active work. I
don't want to support idlers or
people who just post things on Facebook
and make statements. Yashin is working excellently, but
as I understand it, they don't have such
plans either. I would like everyone who
wants to run for office to say so now
and to demonstrate through their work
not only to me, but to you and everyone else, that they
deserve our support.
>> Yak 007, when can we expect a film from you called "He
Isn't Dimon to You?" Haven't you really dug up anything on
the one who can't learn your last name?
>> That's classified information. Well, we, we are constantly
constantly
working on investigations in various
directions involving different people. All of this is very
complicated, and there cannot be
any specific deadlines for it. And we never
disclose any details whatsoever about
our upcoming investigations.
>> But you are working on such
investigations.
>> Any investigation into corruption in Russia,
major corruption, is connected to
Putin. Any, any film or anything
about Rotenberg, Timchenko, or Shamalov
is all about Putin.
>> Cherepovets. What is the likelihood of Russia
breaking up like the Soviet Union? What could
contribute to such a breakup? What would you
do to unite the country
ideologically and economically
if you came to power?
>> What Putin is doing now is,
of course, work that is leading to Russia's collapse. It is
this current effort to strip all power from
the regions, squeeze everyone, uh, everyone
being driven out, because later, when
the pendulum swings, swings back in
the opposite direction, that will, of course, lead
to centrifugal tendencies of that kind.
So yes, I really do believe that
Putin is working toward the breakup of the country,
despite the fact that they are the ones who
most loudly claim that they are
trying to hold it together, while the economy is
supposedly already falling apart now.
No ideological foundation will
unite our country. People need to be given
decent wages if things are to go well for
Russia.
>> Alexei, we're with you. Makarov 14. Alexei,
we're with you. A question: do you have a clear
plan for after March 18?
>> I do have a clear plan for after March 18.
After March 18, we will
use every mechanism available to
make the authorities reckon with us.
We will take part in elections and
demand our right to participate. We will
spread information. We will
create new channels of communication, which
we have talked about. We are, at a minimum,
at least 30–40%
of the residents of the largest cities, who have already
realized that they have effectively been
thrown out of the political system,
who have been told: "Guys, you are not supposed to be
in these elections, and you cannot
put forward your own representatives. We ourselves
will decide who your representatives are, and you
can just come and vote for them." So
go vote. Uh, all these people—they are
there, and we will work to ensure that
they begin influencing the authorities in different
ways: through elections, through information, well,
through anything—leaflets, whatever. Politics has once again
returned to a state that is, you know,
the most basic, maybe even the most
honest, where now meetings with
voters and the distribution of newspapers
Leaflets are in fact the most important and
the main political process.
>> Well, for you, politics is a profession.
And what will happen to the Progress Party? We have never stopped
trying to register the Progress Party,
we have not given up those
attempts, and we will not give them up going forward. We
believe that we should have a party of our own.
It is not the most comfortable way
to do political work for most
people. A party is, generally speaking, the most
discredited
institution, as we know even from
numerous sociological surveys.
But it is important. And the question of participating in elections
is, of course, tied to the registration
of a party, because we are constantly
being told: "Oh, just go to PARNAS (a Russian opposition party) or
go to Yabloko (a Russian liberal party), and there you will have to
fall to your knees and kiss the ring." And
then we will let one person onto your
candidate lists. That is unacceptable. And most
importantly, it leads to no
result. So of course we will continue
to seek registration, to demand the registration
of the Progress Party, and nothing else.
>> On March 19, 2018, what will you say to your
supporters? I will give my supporters
an assessment of my work and their work up to that
point. Whether we managed to achieve something or
not. I will call on my supporters
to keep working, because March 19 is
not some super-date. It is a completely
technical date on which there will be a
reappointment of Putin. He
will get his 73%
and will go on waving those percentages in
our faces. And on March 19 I will say: "People, do not
believe this piece of paper. We will
continue"—continue fighting so that
we can influence the political system, because
without our influence, nothing good
will happen. Without our influence, we will
continue to decline and grow poorer.
And all these predictions that after
the inauguration there will be a sharp
tightening of the regime, since the leader
is not getting any younger—what is your forecast? Will things get worse?
>> Well, of course things will get worse. I do not think
something abrupt will happen immediately. This is the kind of
traditional forecast, uh, made by people who
like making forecasts, that from such-and-such a moment...
>> The program on your channel
is called *It Will Get Worse*—how much worse can it get?
>> That is the name of the program, so yes, I am saying that
things will get worse, but that is the logic of the regime. Everything
keeps getting worse. The number of
political prisoners is growing. Absurd
criminal cases no longer even make us laugh
when someone is jailed for a like
on VKontakte (a Russian social network). It is now just a routine
news item. It appears every single
day. So, of course, the whole logic
of this regime is that people will become
poorer, there will be more corruption,
more political prisoners, more repression.
Not in sudden leaps, but it
will keep intensifying, so things will get worse.
That is exactly why we must keep fighting.
>> That was Alexei Navalny. Thank you.
We will talk again in a week.
Full
>> We ended on an optimistic note. It will
get worse.
>> I printed something out for you специально.
>> Let me see. And you...
I dealt with this myself, you see? There are
things I knew well that used to annoy me
enormously...
That helps a lot. We are leaving now.
The wardrobe needs to be replaced.
>> YouTube is working.
>> YouTube is working. Yes, yes, yes. Let's go.
>> On YouTube. Hello, everyone. Goodbye, everyone.
>> How many people are watching right now? Tell me.
Interesting. Let's take a look now.
>> Oh, I forgot to ask: why did your
wife not go to vote? Damn, I
forgot a lot of questions like that.
Yes, and there were more—it's a shame.
>> I can choose not to answer that question. There is
nothing terrible about that. These things happen.
>> It is not loading. Well, people have already dropped off there,
so... chiffonier, as I...
that is wrong. So, wardrobe, wardrobe,
closet, and chiffonier—how do they relate
to one another?
What,
that you like him? Aleksan just does not
read the audio. Well, I am working on it.
