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2:03

>> Absolute Albats.

2:05

>> Good evening. This is Echo of Moscow. This is

2:08

Yevgenia Albats. I am beginning our

2:10

program, the first one this year.

2:13

A program devoted to key politics,

2:15

the week's political events, the

2:17

events that will influence

2:19

politics in the coming weeks and months. I

2:21

apologize for the tautology. I

2:23

congratulate you all on the New Year, on

2:25

the holidays just passed, and I wish that you

2:28

may be happy. And I wish the same

2:31

to my guest, Alexei Anatolyevich

2:33

Navalny. Ah, Alexei, hello.

2:35

>> Hi. Hello, Zhenya. Thank you

2:37

very much. And the same to you.

2:39

>> Thank you. And 2017 was your year.

2:42

Of course, your presidential campaign was

2:44

both your personal success and a success

2:48

for the country, in which, thanks to you,

2:49

public politics returned. I congratulate you

2:51

on that.

2:52

>> You see how interesting that is right away. You

2:53

say: "It was my year, a great

2:54

success." And here I am sitting

2:55

as an unregistered candidate, and still

2:58

I keep hearing everyone say it's a success.

3:01

That shows just how corrupted politics in

3:03

our country has become, but nevertheless

3:05

it also says that you must not give up and

3:07

you have to keep doing what you're doing. That's all.

3:09

Did you really think,

3:11

did you really expect that you would be registered,

3:13

Alexei? Now, when

3:15

>> That was an explicitly stated goal. We

3:17

understood very well that they did not want

3:19

to let me into the election. And that became clear

3:21

in 2012, when they opened criminal cases against

3:25

me, and then passed

3:26

a law right away. And everyone wrote that it was

3:28

the "Navalny law," under which

3:30

convicted persons cannot run for office. But we

3:33

openly stated that we would try

3:35

to build political pressure of such a level

3:37

that they would be forced

3:39

to let me into the election, as happened in

3:41

the Moscow election in 2013.

3:42

Perhaps we built up too much

3:45

pressure. They saw it, and they were horrified by

3:48

the scale of our campaign, the number of

3:49

volunteers, the fact that this campaign was real,

3:52

not virtual. That worked against

3:54

us. They finally decided that

3:55

it was too scary to let us into the election.

3:58

>> What will happen to the headquarters now? They are in

4:00

eighty-four cities, I think,

4:01

or in eighty-four cities across Russia

4:04

including the so-called people's

4:06

headquarters, which we do not finance,

4:07

which people open themselves, they

4:09

will continue to operate in the mode of a voters'

4:11

strike. The most important thing that we

4:13

have created over this year, more than a year, is

4:16

this kind of real political

4:17

structure of influence. It's, well, not exactly

4:21

a party, but a proto-party movement.

4:23

It is in fact a genuinely large

4:25

opposition movement, the largest and

4:27

the only one created in recent

4:29

years, so of course we do not want

4:30

to lose it, and we will continue engaging in all

4:32

forms of politics. But right now our

4:35

main task is organizing

4:37

a voters' strike, that is,

4:38

an active boycott and a call for people not

4:41

to go to this election, while at the same time deploying such

4:44

a number of observers

4:45

that no one has ever

4:47

deployed before. And the Supreme Court, the presidium of the

4:49

Supreme Court, rejected your lawyers' appeal

4:52

against the Central Election Commission's refusal to register

4:55

you as a candidate for president of the Russian

4:57

Federation. And you've written that off.

5:01

Or do you believe you still have

5:02

a chance to force it through?

5:03

>> I didn't attend a single one of those court hearings when the

5:06

appeal was underway; I didn't even follow it.

5:08

Our lawyers did an excellent job and

5:11

the best job they possibly could. And

5:13

the law, legal right, and justice were all on

5:16

our side. But I understood perfectly well that

5:18

this judicial system—well, listen, these

5:20

are the same people who overturned my sentence in the

5:23

Kirovles case under ECHR (European Court of Human Rights) rulings and sent

5:26

it back for a new hearing. These

5:28

people jailed others in Soviet times for

5:30

anti-Soviet activity, and now they

5:32

imprison people who speak out there,

5:34

uh, who say something against our

5:37

obscurantism. So I have absolutely no

5:38

illusions whatsoever about either the

5:41

Supreme Court or the Constitutional

5:43

Court. We're doing all this because

5:45

the truth and, as I already said, the law are on

5:47

our side, and we will keep doing it

5:49

going forward, but we have no illusions. We have entered

5:51

strike mode; we are going to boycott the

5:53

election. And that is our

5:57

only strategy.

5:58

>> On January 28, 2018, you

6:01

announced that this would be a strike. What

6:03

exactly will that be?

6:04

>> It will be a public action. A strike is

6:06

really a process. As soon as the Central Election Commission

6:09

issued the decision that I would not be allo

6:11

strike-related—sorry, I'm interrupting you,

6:12

a strike movement is

6:14

a process, whereas a strike is still

6:16

some kind of one-time act. No,

6:17

>> well, a strike is a one-time act. You're at

6:19

a workplace, they don't pay your wages, and

6:21

you say: "I'm not going to

6:22

work anymore." It's the same with us. We are citizens

6:24

of Russia. We are being forced or persuaded

6:26

to go to the polls, but we are not being given

6:28

political competition. We have no one to

6:30

vote for. So we say: "We will not

6:31

go to the election." And this will be a

6:34

process in which we discuss it. We

6:36

argue with our opponents or

6:38

strikebreakers, who say: "No,

6:40

you still have to go. Well then, we'll go

6:42

instead of you." So this is

6:44

still a process—a complicated

6:46

political process. And we will take part in it.

6:49

And specifically on January 28,

6:51

taking this opportunity once again, I call on

6:52

everyone to take part in this action. It

6:54

will be—well, we will call on people to come out

6:57

into the streets and, uh, including there in the streets,

7:00

to make their attitude toward these

7:03

elections clear—elections that are not really elections.

7:04

These are "elections" in quotation marks, and to demand that

7:06

we want real elections, because

7:08

a situation in which there have been no real elections

7:11

for 18 years has led not only to

7:13

political problems, but also to

7:14

economic ones. People are getting poorer.

7:17

>> In 2011, when you, uh, came out with the slogan

7:22

to vote, to vote for your favorite—for

7:24

any party except the party of, uh, crooks and

7:28

thieves, it was clear, it was completely clear to everyone

7:32

how to act.

7:35

I myself remember voting then for

7:37

Mironov's A Just Russia party. And ten times

7:39

afterward I was asked: "Was it right

7:42

for you to vote that way? Just look at

7:43

that Mironov." And I told them:

7:45

"Look at Dmitry Gudkov, at

7:47

Gudkov Sr., at Ilya Ponomaryov,

7:49

who were the only force of

7:50

resistance in the first year of the existence

7:53

of that Duma, that convocation. Now, to be honest,

7:57

I frankly don't see what the

8:00

course of action is here. People still need to understand: one,

8:04

two, three. So tell me: what is the one-two-three here?

8:07

>> In 2011, our strategy was clear.

8:11

In fact, it didn't matter whom you

8:12

voted for. The main thing was that you voted

8:14

against United Russia. There's no need

8:15

to justify yourself. You voted for

8:17

the Communists, for A Just Russia, for

8:18

Yabloko. It didn't matter. You

8:20

voted against United Russia so that

8:22

the level of, uh, United Russia's control over the vote

8:27

would fall enough that these

8:29

pitiful, feeble parties could

8:32

revive and oppose United

8:34

Russia in the State Duma. And that is

8:36

what happened. And only thanks to

8:38

falsification

8:39

was the Kremlin able to preserve this—

8:42

to preserve United Russia's majority in

8:43

the State Duma. Those falsifications then

8:45

led to those very protests

8:47

of 2011–2012. So

8:48

it was the right strategy. But we need

8:50

to recognize that in all the subsequent

8:52

years the Kremlin was preparing to

8:54

fight this strategy, because

8:56

with this strategy we were beating them. That is exactly

8:58

why all the most disgusting,

9:01

for example, laws were introduced precisely by

9:03

the Communists and by A Just Russia.

9:04

That's why people made exactly those

9:06

complaints to you that you were just talking about.

9:08

In other words, they arranged everything so that you would have

9:10

no second-choice candidate or party.

9:13

And now, trying to think in terms of

9:16

the 2011 strategy is simply

9:18

pointless. Here and now we have

9:21

a specific political situation in which

9:23

the Kremlin has simply programmed the

9:27

election in such a way that

9:28

Putin is guaranteed to get between 73 and

9:31

76 percent. That's my forecast. And nothing can

9:35

happen in this election that would prevent

9:37

that from happening. So right now

9:41

the best strategy is this. First, second,

9:43

third. First: do not go to the polls.

9:46

Second, to urge everyone not to go to the

9:48

elections. Third, to lower turnout by every

9:51

possible means. Fourth, to organize

9:53

monitoring so that they cannot falsify the

9:55

turnout figures. That is precisely why

9:57

the Kremlin is now so frantically working on

10:00

turnout. You didn’t happen to watch the video that

10:02

Roizman released just the day before yesterday, did you?

10:04

>> I did, of course, since Leonid

10:06

Volkov tweeted it.

10:07

>> And rightly so. After all, the mayor

10:09

of Russia’s fourth-largest city, he

10:12

describes very accurately how they will

10:13

artificially boost turnout for them. We currently have quite a lot

10:15

of insider information and documents. I am sure

10:17

that all these documents will soon be published,

10:19

documents showing how, through

10:22

methods like door-to-door canvassing,

10:25

voting outside polling stations,

10:27

and absentee certificates, how

10:29

the Kremlin will frantically drag up turnout,

10:32

because they understand perfectly well: nobody

10:34

wants to go to these elections, and they need

10:36

to create the appearance of legitimacy. Of course, this

10:38

already answers your next

10:40

question. What turnout percentage would deprive

10:43

the authorities of legitimacy? There is no answer to that

10:46

question, because it is not measured

10:47

in percentages; it is measured in people’s perceptions.

10:50

Right now, a man is walking down Novy Arbat (a major avenue in central Moscow)

10:53

and saying to himself: “Well, a lot of people

10:54

voted for Putin. I still don’t like him, but

10:56

let him stay in office.” And tomorrow he will be walking

10:58

along, and people will be telling him:

11:00

“No, he cannot stay there,

11:02

it’s all fake.” That is the moment when

11:04

legitimacy will collapse, but it

11:06

cannot be measured in percentages. So right now, uh, we need

11:09

to act simply, well, excuse me for

11:11

such a banality, according to conscience. If these

11:14

elections are shameless and indecent, then one

11:16

must not go to them. And we must actively

11:18

persuade everyone else not to go either.

11:20

>> The theory of electoral behavior says

11:21

that a voter, uh, when choosing whom

11:26

to vote for, is more likely to vote for

11:27

someone who is capable of reaching the goal.

11:31

What you are offering

11:34

voters is something

11:37

irrational,

11:39

you understand? Well,

11:40

>> No, no, I wouldn’t say that—you

11:42

are contradicting yourself, aren’t you? There, the

11:45

voter,

11:46

when deciding whom to vote for, would like

11:49

to vote for someone who can reach

11:51

the goal. Or at least someone who declares that

11:53

they are moving toward that goal. But here, everyone who

11:55

is not Putin has said outright

11:57

many times in public: “Actually, we do not

11:59

want to be president, we understand

12:01

our own insignificance, we will lose, we do not

12:03

want to do anything.” But we are running in order

12:05

to, well, and then comes a list of vague reasons—

12:07

to say some important words, or get something,

12:09

or something else. So why, then,

12:12

should a voter take part in that? And

12:13

it turns out that we are talking ourselves into it

12:17

and trying to find some pretext,

12:20

some rational explanation,

12:22

some mathematical justification for a simple

12:25

political fact, which is that

12:27

this is not an election, and the result will in

12:30

any case be 73 to 76 percent. I can already

12:33

tell you now what

12:35

the results of this election will be.

12:36

>> Tell us.

12:37

>> I will. Let’s do this—

12:41

let’s make a bet when you invite me back. Next

12:42

time, we will conduct our first

12:44

poll in January, and then I will give you

12:46

a substantiated forecast. For now, my forecast

12:48

is as follows: first place

12:50

goes to Putin with 73–76 percent. Second place goes to

12:53

Zhirinovsky, at 10 to 13 percent.

12:56

Third place goes to Grudinin, at 10 to

12:59

12 percent. And everyone else will be somewhere

13:04

between 1 and 2 percent. Yavlinsky, Sobchak, and Titov.

13:10

>> So you are

13:12

predicting

13:13

a different result from Levada’s? Lev

13:17

Gudkov, the head of the Levada Center, was on my

13:18

program. Their forecast for Sobchak is around

13:21

7 percent.

13:22

>> That is simply ridiculous. I mean,

13:25

listen, Prokhorov got 7 percent

13:28

in 2012, when there was

13:29

enthusiasm, when people went to the polls

13:32

and voted for Prokhorov. Back then people were not saying about him

13:34

what they said about A Just Russia (a Russian political party):

13:36

“I went to vote.” We all

13:38

were saying, urging: “Let’s go to the

13:40

elections.” And since then, first of all,

13:43

it became obvious how we were deceived with this

13:46

Prokhorov story, what complete

13:48

nonsense it all was. And the country is completely different now, the regime is

13:50

different too. So of course, those candidates

13:53

who are running now, with the exception of

13:55

Zhirinovsky and Grudinin, have absolutely no

13:58

chance whatsoever of getting

14:01

numbers above 5 percent.

14:03

>> Pavel Grudinin is the only one you have

14:05

spoken positively about lately.

14:07

At least, I

14:09

watched your Thursday program on

14:10

the Navalny 2018 channel.

14:13

>> On the Navalny Live channel, not Navalny

14:15

2018. Sorry. Uh, you spoke about

14:19

Grudinin, um, with a great deal of

14:23

sympathy, although, by the way, he, uh, about you

14:27

rather...

14:28

>> Well, he is not supposed to now. That is

14:30

also an interesting fact, because before

14:31

all this Grudinin nomination business, when people asked him about me,

14:33

he would also say, though rarely, “I am not

14:35

acquainted with him, I do not know his

14:37

work,” but he always spoke of Grudinin with sympathy,

14:39

whereas now he is not allowed to.

14:42

as expected, and so I view him somewhat sympathetically.

14:43

He stopped talking, which is also quite

14:45

a telling thing. But, uh, I can

14:48

say that his recent public appearances

14:51

before his nomination were

14:53

fairly appealing to me. He was kind of

14:54

the sort who, uh, tells it like it is, as

14:57

they say. Well, his biography, of course,

14:59

taken as a whole... He was a deputy from

15:01

United Russia for 12 years, but at least he looks like

15:03

an actual living person. But nevertheless, unfortunately,

15:05

it doesn’t look like he’s running

15:07

any kind of campaign, because if he were

15:09

running one, then probably he could

15:10

claim second place. As it is, I’m

15:12

afraid he’ll even lose to Zhirinovsky

15:13

(Vladimir Zhirinovsky, the nationalist politician). By the way, we separately

15:15

want to conduct a sociological

15:16

study on whether people even know

15:18

that it’s not Zyuganov who was nominated, but

15:20

Grudinin. And my assumption

15:21

is that even now

15:23

nobody knows that. He simply

15:24

isn’t doing anything. Well, look,

15:25

what’s the date today?

15:28

>> The eighth,

15:28

>> Right?

15:29

And our plan was that if I got

15:32

registered, I’d start right from the first day.

15:35

We even calculated whether we could afford

15:37

a plane so I could fly around and hold

15:40

two rallies in every city, because

15:42

this is your moment.

15:45

>> What do you mean, afford it?

15:46

>> Well, we wanted to—we were calculating whether

15:49

you’d have enough money to rent

15:50

a plane. Because you can’t do it on regular

15:52

commercial flights.

15:52

>> Oh sure, with white leather

15:54

seats. Well, we couldn’t even afford one without seats

15:57

at all, so

15:59

we dropped the idea, dropped it. If you want

16:02

to campaign in a country this size,

16:04

you need a plane. We couldn’t make it work,

16:06

so we flew everywhere on regular

16:08

commercial flights.

16:10

But that’s not the point. In any case, starting from

16:13

January 2, I would have gone into a mode of

16:16

speaking twice in every city,

16:18

holding rallies nonstop, because

16:20

this is your chance. Until the fifteenth,

16:22

everyone is sitting at home. Catch them

16:24

while they’re still there, collect signatures, campaign,

16:27

drag them to rallies—they’ve got nothing else to do.

16:29

Does it look like any of the candidates are doing that,

16:31

for example Grudinin? No,

16:32

it doesn’t. That suggests that, well, what kind of

16:35

percentage can they even

16:38

hope for if they aren’t even taking

16:40

the most basic steps? Instead, he’s going around

16:43

apartment blocks collecting votes.

16:45

I think in Samara. Going door to door

16:47

doesn’t suit a candidate. We just recently saw

16:50

how a

16:51

wonderfully competitive

16:54

presidential campaign in the United States was run, where

16:56

an outsider actually became president.

16:58

They held meetings with voters,

17:00

they held rallies, big rallies.

17:02

You know, one of the reasons why

17:04

people say Hillary Clinton didn’t

17:07

become president is that she didn’t hold enough

17:08

meetings in—where was it? In Wisconsin,

17:10

yes, she writes about it in her book. So, in other words,

17:11

>> Not Wisconsin at all—Philadelphia.

17:13

>> Exactly. So in the Midwest,

17:15

yes,

17:16

>> it’s a candidate’s job to visit cities intensively

17:19

and hold, well, big or

17:23

relatively big meetings, depending on what

17:25

they can manage. Not go door to door just

17:27

to get photographed somewhere.

17:28

That also needs to be done, sure, in between

17:31

the big meetings, because otherwise

17:33

there won’t really be any actual campaigning. And

17:35

most importantly, why all these candidates—

17:38

we started by talking about Grudinin—

17:40

whom I still, generally speaking,

17:42

view with some sympathy—why he is not

17:43

a real candidate, aside from the fact that he

17:46

still

17:46

>> And why do you feel sympathetic toward him?

17:47

>> Because I watched his

17:49

speeches, and he’s an absolute left-wing populist.

17:53

>> Right now, he...

17:53

>> Well, the only thing that saves him for you,

17:56

the only thing bringing you together, is this slogan: "I’ll lock up

17:59

everyone."

18:00

I haven’t heard him on Solovyov’s show (a major Russian political talk show), so I can’t

18:02

say anything specifically about his latest

18:04

public appearances,

18:05

but I did listen to him speak at

18:08

all those forums—the forum, what’s it called,

18:10

the Moscow Economic

18:11

Forum. There it was him, Potapenko, and

18:13

several other vivid personalities. That farmer,

18:15

Melnichenko,

18:16

>> Yes, he was saying that there are no real

18:18

food products at all, that all of it is made from...

18:21

And Grudinin in particular spoke very well

18:24

in defense of business interests, especially small

18:26

business. It was quite interesting.

18:28

He was one of the entrepreneurs

18:30

who wasn’t afraid to criticize the authorities,

18:32

although he avoided criticizing Putin himself. But

18:35

even so, based on that,

18:37

he was at least engaged in some political

18:38

activity, and in recent years he

18:40

had been involved in at least some kind of political activity

18:41

and had been speaking out, so I do feel some

18:43

sympathy toward him. But why

18:46

are none of them real candidates now? If you

18:48

want to win votes, then you have to

18:50

criticize Putin, Vladimir

18:52

Vladimirovich, because his rule in

18:54

Russia is a personalist—am I saying that

18:57

word correctly?—a personalist regime,

18:59

which he established. If you want to get

19:01

the percentages—take those percentage points away from him.

19:04

That’s the only chance: at least aim

19:07

for, well, ideally, a second round, for

19:10

some kind of double-digit result, for broad

19:12

support. It’s not about trying to mobilize

19:15

someone on Facebook or through

19:16

one of Solovyov’s programs. What’s needed is, well, excuse

19:19

my language, to go after Putin hard so that

19:21

voters peel away from him and

19:23

come to you. But not one of them

19:25

is doing that. That was the main

19:27

condition for allowing them to run. So the campaign is not

19:28

real, and going to these elections is

19:30

shameful.

19:32

>> The only action you’re proposing

19:33

is observers. You’re

19:35

recruiting them—I mean, what do you mean

19:38

the only action I’m proposing?

19:39

I’m proposing

19:42

a boycott. No, no, no, let me explain. Fine,

19:45

since you’re playing dumb—though I know you’re not

19:47

actually dumb—but still, since you’re

19:48

pretending to be, excuse me, dense,

19:50

I’ll explain: compared with all the

19:53

other candidates, who haven’t

19:54

done a damn thing and haven’t done a damn thing

19:57

over the past year, I am proposing

19:59

a boycott, active campaigning, I don’t

20:02

know, putting up leaflets in apartment building entrances, we

20:04

will print newspapers and carry out this very

20:06

campaign, this organizational work,

20:08

so that people do not go to the polls. We will

20:11

organize observers—not 20, not

20:13

30, not 1,000, not 5,000, and not only in

20:16

major cities, the way everyone else does, but

20:18

we’ll put tens of thousands of people in place across the whole country.

20:20

That’s a gigantic organizational

20:22

effort.

20:23

>> So, March 18, 2018. An observer—well,

20:27

you’ll have to, after all, get them all

20:29

registered. It’s not exactly

20:30

a simple matter.

20:31

>> No, logistically this is an

20:34

incredibly difficult task. In

20:36

fact, no matter what anyone says,

20:38

real observers have never

20:41

been deployed in numbers greater than, well,

20:45

20,000 people. Never. No one.

20:47

The Communists claim that they

20:48

covered all 90,000 polling

20:50

stations. But we know how that

20:51

works. They just hand over the paperwork to

20:53

the administrations. The administrations put

20:55

teachers, United Russia people, whoever they want there. We

20:58

want real, genuine

21:00

observers in place, including in places

21:01

where they have never existed before—in the Volga region,

21:04

even in the North Caucasus, including

21:06

in Dagestan in particular. This task

21:09

is astonishingly difficult, astonishingly

21:11

expensive. We understand that the Kremlin will, and

21:14

the wonderful Ella Pamfilova will

21:16

resist this tooth and nail, but

21:19

we are going to do it. So when you say

21:20

that all you’re proposing is election monitoring—

21:22

Yes, in fact we’re doing all the work for all

21:25

the candidates and for the entire political

21:27

system. I’m glad you used the word

21:28

“we,” because in the News interview I

21:31

kept reading “I, I, I.” So after all

21:34

you’re not alone, right, Ash? You somehow really

21:37

>> Well, I think maybe your

21:40

reporters changed my “we” into “I.”

21:43

Well, I say both “I” and “we.” But of course, and

21:46

especially now, in this voter strike

21:49

mode, it is “we.” It is those people

21:51

whom they decided to throw out of

21:53

the political system. I’m simply one of

21:55

those who publicly represent these people’s interests.

21:57

I go on Echo of Moscow (a Russian radio station) on their behalf

22:00

and speak here. But of course, it

22:02

would be completely impossible to do all

22:04

of our campaign without the people who

22:06

across the country, in the overwhelming

22:09

majority of cases—99.9%—

22:12

do it entirely for free. The demographics

22:15

of the people who make up your

22:17

volunteers, those who were ready to sign

22:19

for you, those who work in the campaign offices—

22:22

do you have a sense of who they are?

22:23

>> Residents of big cities, educated residents

22:24

of big cities, who have access to

22:27

the internet, who use

22:28

the internet. Most often they’re 25 to 34—that’s

22:32

the core—but there are also quite a lot of

22:36

older people. It’s hard to calculate all

22:39

of this, because many of these people

22:42

don’t register in any

22:43

databases at all. We have 200,000 people

22:45

registered as volunteers. And based on

22:48

these people, now that we’ve got

22:49

a little time, we’ll conduct

22:51

a detailed study of who they are.

22:53

It’s interesting to understand: are they center-left,

22:55

center-right, what are their views

22:57

on various different areas

23:00

of life besides Putin and corruption? So

23:03

we’ll do all that and we’ll understand

23:05

them better. But for now—

23:07

>> Somewhere you said that Sobchak is, basically,

23:10

a classic representative of, well,

23:13

expensive, successful,

23:15

uh, pampered Moscow. And you are a candidate—

23:19

you are a candidate of the country as a whole, that you’ve

23:22

traveled around the cities and now, uh, you

23:25

understand things much better.

23:27

>> I didn’t say it exactly like that, but you’ve

23:28

put it well. Well,

23:31

then tell me this: how are the people you

23:34

met across Russia—during your

23:39

rallies, in campaign offices, and so

23:41

on—how do they differ from this

23:43

pampered Moscow?

23:44

>> First of all, I never said “pampered Moscow,”

23:46

and there is no such

23:48

thing as a pampered Moscow.

23:50

It’s an important part, and, well, this is something I

23:54

understood before too. After all, I mean, I...

23:57

I am a resident of the outskirts of Moscow, yes, and in

24:00

that sense I certainly never

24:02

belonged to any kind of elite or bohemian

24:04

Moscow circle. So I always understood

24:06

that this was not the case. Now it is absolutely not

24:08

the case. Moscow, despite the fact that

24:10

all the money is concentrated here, is

24:12

full of people who live from

24:14

paycheck to paycheck, rent apartments

24:16

with their last money, and do not have enough money

24:18

for anything. City Hall says that

24:20

the average salary in Moscow is 60,000 or

24:23

80,000 rubles. That does not correspond

24:25

to reality in the slightest. There are

24:27

huge numbers of people here, but we

24:30

would more likely be talking about 35,000 to 42,000

24:33

rubles. But we know this from the same

24:37

social surveys that we conduct. But I do not

24:38

claim that right now I can

24:40

give a truly representative

24:42

figure.

24:43

>> But when it comes to the regions, we know for certain

24:45

that they differ from Moscow in that

24:48

first of all, they are still much

24:50

poorer. Rosstat (Russia’s federal statistics agency), for example, gives its data on

24:53

average salaries based, in effect, on 38% of

24:57

the population—on employees of the largest

25:00

corporations and public-sector workers, whose

25:03

salaries are easy for them to

25:05

calculate. Everyone else is, to one degree or another,

25:07

actually hidden from them. And

25:10

salaries there are much lower. And I know

25:12

for a fact: you go to a

25:13

region where the official average wage

25:16

is, say, 31,000 rubles. You start asking

25:18

people, and they will tell you

25:19

their salaries are 22, 20, 19, 14, 15 thousand. And

25:24

that is why the regions, unlike Moscow,

25:26

even the biggest cities, even places like

25:28

St. Petersburg, Yekaterinburg, or Novosibirsk—

25:30

are, first and foremost,

25:31

about poverty. Second, there is hopelessness,

25:34

there are no prospects at all. In Moscow, at least,

25:37

there are still some prospects. You meet

25:39

people who earn high

25:40

salaries, say 100,000 rubles. And you

25:43

understand that you might be able to find

25:44

that kind of job too, probably, if you try hard enough.

25:46

Well, if you are young enough and

25:48

active enough. But in the regions, that does not exist; there,

25:51

no matter how hard you try, no matter how

25:53

talented, smart, educated, and willing

25:56

you are to work three jobs at once,

25:58

your ceiling will be 45,000 to 60,000. That is it,

26:02

there are no prospects. This is the

26:04

most important thing about the country in general and about

26:06

our election campaign, really.

26:08

Because we are precisely

26:09

talking to those people and relying

26:12

on those who have realized that

26:15

the lack of economic prospects in their

26:18

lives is connected to this

26:20

disgusting, hopeless

26:22

political regime.

26:23

>> Yeltsin’s electorate, when

26:26

back in the late 1980s he was entering

26:30

big-time politics, had a very female

26:32

electoral face. Women loved him,

26:35

they desired him. And when you

26:39

look at the crowd standing

26:40

in front of you in the cities, what kind of faces do you see?

26:43

Young, male ones.

26:45

Women like us too, but only a little. Uh,

26:49

the research we are doing, as

26:51

I already said, we will do in more detail, but

26:53

for now, based on the statistics we have from

26:55

internet traffic, we can see that,

26:57

of course, there are certain problems with

26:59

the female audience, simply because

27:01

our means of delivering, of getting

27:04

the message, the information out are very, well,

27:07

skewed in a particular direction.

27:08

>> Uh, sorry, I just do not want us to be

27:11

cut off. The news and ads are coming up on Echo (Echo of Moscow radio station).

27:16

And the regions are switching over.

27:18

>> They are about to start the local

27:21

news there, you understand? It is a real shame.

27:23

>> So it does not matter that we ran over here,

27:25

they just pressed a button there, and that was it.

27:28

>> And that is the problem, and so we will have to go out

27:29

like this, from the capital studio microphone.

27:34

announced that it had successfully repelled an attack

27:36

by drones on our country’s bases in

27:38

Syria. The ministry’s statement says

27:40

that terrorists, using aerial

27:42

vehicles, attempted on January 6 to attack

27:45

the Khmeimim air base and the naval base in

27:48

Tartus.

27:49

>> When you were talking about Grudinin

27:53

works

27:55

the BBC broadcasting company reported

28:00

the pen is not writing. Could someone bring me a pen?

28:02

In an interview with the RIA Novosti agency, Ncevich

28:05

said that he sees attempts by militants

28:07

to attack Russian military

28:09

facilities in Syria.

28:10

>> Well, 11,000. Hello, everyone.

28:13

>> Estonia will for the first time spend on defense

28:14

more.

28:15

>> The last time I looked, when I was watching you,

28:16

there were 11,000 people watching

28:18

us. Watch not only Echo of Moscow, but also

28:20

subscribe to Navalny’s channel.

28:22

Advertisement

28:24

of spending on defense. The prime minister said that

28:27

on the contrary

28:29

the last time

28:31

of all time. Not only do I not remember. I

28:34

do not think I have ever actually watched you live,

28:35

but it seemed to me there were

28:38

106,000 people watching. Could that be right? Did you

28:40

>> We have had times when more than 100,000 watched,

28:43

but those were some extraordinary cases. I mean,

28:45

my last broadcast had something like

28:48

19,000 or 20,000 online at peak. So

28:51

for us—well then explain to me how to understand

28:57

>> Dud says that what matters is how many people

28:59

are watching, not how many are subscribed.

29:02

How many? Look, there are several

29:04

metrics. A criminal case has been opened over

29:06

intentional destruction.

29:07

>> The first metric is the number of subscribers

29:09

a channel has. We have 416,000 there, but that

29:13

is important, though not really the most important thing.

29:15

The second is how many people

29:18

watched your video.

29:20

>> Do you have a million subscribers? No,

29:21

>> no, we have two channels. One has about

29:23

1.6 million. On the live-stream channel

29:25

we have 416,000 subscribers. But the most

29:29

important metric is how many

29:30

views your video gets. In other words,

29:33

when we do a live broadcast, it matters

29:35

who is watching. You have to understand, I go on air at

29:37

9:30, and by then all of Siberia

29:39

has already dropped off—they're all asleep. In the Far

29:41

East it's already morning, and even in the

29:43

Urals it's already too late. So only the

29:46

European part of Russia can watch

29:48

live online. The most important metric is

29:49

the total number of views, yes, because

29:51

most often people wake up the next morning,

29:53

go to work, do whatever

29:56

they need to do, then put on

29:58

their headphones and start watching YouTube.

30:00

>> And you can see that they do it specifically during

30:01

working hours.

30:04

>> Why aren't they working? This is more important than

30:06

any job. If they're watching my broadcast

30:08

during working hours, good for them. It's

30:10

more important than any job.

30:11

>> Alyosh, that's awful.

30:13

>> Oh, come on, 40 minutes is fine,

30:16

>> right? Well

30:16

>> a person can't spend work time watching something

30:18

that

30:18

>> attention: Morning Turn.

30:21

>> They can, they can

30:23

indeed,

30:23

>> anyone can watch for 40 minutes or an hour.

30:26

Miss Morning Turn from

30:28

8 to 11.

30:29

>> Because not everyone watches the whole

30:31

broadcast. We add time codes, and they

30:33

click around and watch. They watch the most interesting

30:36

20 minutes out of an hour.

30:40

Sergei Aleksansona.

30:42

>> So you check what performs

30:44

well and what doesn't.

30:45

>> Unfortunately, we can't see which ones—well, actually, no,

30:48

we can see that too. We can see the peaks on the graph

30:50

as well. Of course we check. I mean,

30:51

we try to analyze it. The most

30:53

important thing for us is retention: how many total

30:56

views there were and how long people watched

30:59

a particular video. Our retention on

31:02

my show is 19 minutes. That's

31:04

pretty decent. If 300,000 or 400,000 people

31:07

watch a broadcast for 19 minutes, well, I'm

31:09

satisfied. That's excellent.

31:12

Depth of engagement.

31:14

Broadcast retention is called leaders of states.

31:16

Sergei Buntman is joined by

31:19

Academician Andrei Khazin, a member of the commission under the President

31:21

of the Russian Federation on state

31:23

awards. *Diletanty* on

31:26

Thursday after 9:00 p.m.

31:31

The weekly roundup program *Scanner* with Olga

31:34

Bychkova, produced jointly with the

31:36

Interfax news agency. Listen on Fridays after

31:39

10:00 p.m. We discuss the most-mentioned

31:42

events and public figures of the week according to

31:45

Interfax. The program *Scanner* airs

31:49

Fridays after 10:00 p.m.

31:53

You, scrolling post after post and liking

31:57

all those cat pictures—better keep up with the news

32:01

in your VKontakte feed. Read blogs

32:06

that matter while sitting there with your smartphone.

32:10

Subscribe to the public page of Moskvy (Echo of Moscow)

32:14

—our community.

32:17

Echo of Moscow.

32:22

>> Full Alba.

32:24

This is Echo of Moscow. At the microphone is Yevgenia Bats

32:27

and in the Echo of Moscow studio is Alexei Navalny.

32:30

Alexei, I interrupted you. We went to

32:32

the news break when you were talking about the demographics

32:34

of the people who are there, who stand in front of

32:36

you. And you were saying that the female

32:39

share is smaller because our

32:41

methods of reaching people—well, we rely

32:42

primarily on YouTube right now. There,

32:43

in general, the audience skews more male. I've

32:45

spoken with various channel owners and authors,

32:48

including ones that are not

32:50

political, and yes, there is a male

32:52

audience bias there, and that has an effect. But

32:54

what's very encouraging is that we could actually see

32:57

how the situation changed over the course of this

32:59

year. I started my latest tour,

33:01

it lasted from September 15, and then

33:05

in the final days before registration it was really

33:07

clear that there were more and more,

33:09

first, women in the audience, and second,

33:12

many more older

33:13

people. That's great, that's excellent.

33:15

It works. It gets through.

33:17

>> I was going to ask you this at the end,

33:18

but since we've started talking

33:21

about

33:22

your channels, you're creating television.

33:25

That's completely obvious. And are you

33:27

planning to keep doing this after March 18

33:30

professionally, to create

33:32

some kind of, I don't know, television

33:33

holding company on YouTube?

33:35

>> I don't want to do that, and I would never

33:37

have done it in my life if there had been

33:39

other channels. But simply—where else can I

33:42

even hear news about

33:44

myself now? If you and I were discussing

33:46

this three years ago, we could have named

33:48

20 media outlets that could report on

33:51

the latest FBK investigation. A year ago

33:54

it would already have been 10 outlets, and now it's

33:57

countable on the fingers of one hand. And among them,

34:00

as for the really major media outlets, the ones that have

34:03

there are some that have instant reach,

34:04

there are 100,000 people there—that’s one Echo of Moscow (a Russian radio station) audience,

34:07

in Moscow, where I am right now. And in

34:09

that sense, the information space

34:10

around us has narrowed. That’s why we were

34:12

forced to create all these channels. I

34:14

record videos, which I’m not very good at

34:16

doing. And we’re constantly experimenting.

34:19

Our experiments aren’t always

34:20

successful either, but I’m tremendously grateful to the people

34:22

who are on YouTube and are watching us

34:24

right now, who support all these

34:26

experiments of ours. Of course, we’re not going to build any kind of

34:28

media holding. That takes money,

34:29

>> But you are doing it, you do have programs,

34:31

>> Well, we do have a program, basically, everything

34:33

already makes it look like you’re becoming the face of Alfa-Bank.

34:35

One could take that to mean we’re already talking

34:37

about a fee of a million dollars,

34:39

so, uh,

34:41

>> Well, you know, to somehow initiate that, you understand,

34:44

it would be quite difficult for me to become

34:46

the face of some bank, and there’s absolutely no

34:48

desire to do that. Starting this year, we’ll begin

34:50

careful experiments with advertising on

34:53

some programs. Well, we don’t know how

34:55

to do that. We’re forced to,

34:57

>> We’ll be hiring, of course we will.

34:59

So, 2018 will, uh, be the year

35:03

when this direction of ours in

35:05

creating different kinds of

35:07

well, I’m even afraid to call it television,

35:09

communication—will really take off. We’ll be very actively

35:11

experimenting. But you remember

35:13

how at one point our experiment

35:15

was interrupted when

35:16

FSB officers (Russia’s security service) came and took absolutely everything out of

35:19

our office. Literally all, all the electronic

35:23

equipment. And only thanks to the people

35:25

who watch us were we able to raise

35:27

the money and buy everything again. So we

35:29

understand that, most likely, they’ll

35:31

keep doing that in the future, but we simply

35:32

have no other choice. We have to make

35:35

these programs and all sorts of things like that, even though we don’t

35:37

really know how to do it, and we understand that it

35:39

looks terribly clumsy and strange. Uh, but

35:42

we do it. You know, we’ve known each other for so long

35:44

already, Alyosha, that I remember when you

35:46

and Masha Gaidar were holding debates at the Bilingua club

35:50

Bilingua. Uh-huh.

35:51

>> And then they were even going to invite you

35:53

to the TV Center channel. Were you ready to go

35:56

there?

35:56

>> No, they actually did invite me, but after the first

35:58

pilot episode, they fired me.

36:00

>> And Vladislav Surkov was categorically,

36:02

they say, against it. He immediately understood,

36:03

>> In fact, that’s why I

36:06

>> was seen as a danger. So

36:07

listen, the progress is enormous. From

36:10

the Bilingua club to a million-subscriber channel on

36:13

>> Well, you know the saying, necessity is the mother of invention.

36:15

We have no money and no

36:17

means of communication, so we’re

36:18

resourceful—we’re forced to be

36:19

that way.

36:20

>> You keep playing yourselves down somehow,

36:22

judging by the kind of

36:23

investigations you do. And

36:24

>> No, when it comes to investigations, I’m not

36:25

playing anything down. We do them better than anyone else in the

36:27

country. That’s absolutely certain. And

36:29

on the contrary, people keep criticizing me for

36:31

bragging too much about it. But our

36:33

television product, of course,

36:34

our video product, these live-streaming

36:36

channels—I’m also very proud of them, that

36:38

we made them without being

36:39

professionals, but, frankly speaking,

36:41

there’s still plenty to work on.

36:43

>> Ah, I won’t argue with that. Uh, and I want to ask you

36:45

about the people around

36:48

you. You’ve acquired

36:50

two, so to speak, spokespersons,

36:53

Vladimir Milov and Sergei Aleksashenko,

36:55

who constantly appear as

36:58

your representatives. Uh, Sergei

37:00

Aleksashenko more on matters concerning

37:02

the economy, though not only that. And as for

37:05

Vladimir Milov, I see he’ll be

37:06

debating on Echo as well with Maxim

37:09

Katz about whether to boycott

37:12

the elections or not. Uh, both of

37:15

these remarkable people—they are

37:17

certainly talented—but there are

37:19

reputational issues. One has

37:21

issues of a moral nature; the other has issues connected

37:24

to the days of GKOs (Russian short-term government bonds), the Fimaco offshore company, if

37:28

that means anything to you, and so on. You are

37:31

someone who is very exacting

37:33

about how people earn

37:36

their money, what they do, and you’ve

37:39

destroyed more than one reputation, including

37:41

political reputations. And yet you choose

37:44

as your spokespersons

37:47

people against whom accusations can be made. At

37:49

the very least, on the internet you can read

37:53

quite a few complaints about these people. Explain

37:57

your choice.

37:58

>> Zhenya, you know, the person you can read the most about on

37:59

the internet is me. And

38:03

in that sense, I’m very proud that both

38:06

Aleksashenko and

38:07

>> Because somewhere it was written about you that you

38:09

tried to steal someone else’s wife.

38:10

>> Well, that doesn’t interest me, honestly

38:11

speaking, yes. I don’t think radio listeners would be

38:14

interested in that story. You know it,

38:16

I know it. Unfor—unfortunately, we

38:18

all know all that. But all of that concerns wives,

38:22

husbands, and whatever they do

38:24

somewhere. I’m immensely proud that both

38:28

Milov and Aleksashenko, who don’t

38:29

get a single kopek from us, never have

38:31

received anything, and yet have actively

38:34

started helping us in the campaign. Milov has also, in

38:36

addition to that, traveled around

38:38

...the country. Doesn't reputation matter to you?

38:39

>> Reputation matters to me very much.

38:41

And of course, without reputation, uh, none of our

38:45

movement is possible. But I believe that

38:48

Milov and Alex Sashenko are wonderful

38:50

people one can work with. Everyone has

38:52

a difficult personality, and everyone has a long

38:54

history of conflicts. I am speaking only about

38:57

reputation—about what you could probably

38:59

find on the internet, since you

39:02

really do the best investigations in the country.

39:03

I read all the information on

39:06

the internet. I believe that Milov and Alex

39:08

Sashenko are the people with whom we can

39:10

and should work. I value them greatly and

39:12

am very grateful to them. They are, in fact,

39:14

high-level professionals. And they do these

39:16

things with Milov. Good Lord, I argued with him for

39:20

so many years. You can read how he

39:22

called me every name under the sun there, for example,

39:24

during the mayoral campaign. The anti-Semitic

39:26

posts are very well remembered.

39:27

>> Well, I don't remember anything like that, but still

39:29

there is a varied history

39:31

of relationships with these people. We are

39:34

in fact, uh, building communication with

39:37

all normal people. And they, and in fact

39:41

we have equal relationships—everyone with

39:44

everyone. They are not obliged to report to me.

39:47

I cannot give them instructions, but these

39:50

two, and many other people, help us

39:52

sincerely. I am very grateful to absolutely

39:54

everyone who works with us. Well, that is

39:57

life. There are different people and different

40:00

relationships here. Therefore, as of today,

40:02

I will repeat once again and

40:04

emphasize: I am very proud that both

40:06

of them are working with us.

40:08

>> I see.

40:09

>> Understood. Now I have a second question for

40:10

you. In your program, since

40:13

it is your program, and really,

40:15

it does not matter who wrote it, you propose

40:20

as the form of government in a future

40:22

beautiful Russia

40:23

a presidential-parliamentary republic.

40:26

Georgia tried that, and it

40:29

ended badly.

40:31

It was enough for Ivanishvili to come

40:34

in after Saakashvili, and democracy there

40:37

declined sharply.

40:40

And they tried it in Ukraine, and

40:42

it ended badly twice. And despite all the

40:46

declarations about the United States, all of this continues

40:48

there just fine. No, the United States

40:51

is not a presidential-parliamentary

40:52

republic.

40:53

>> That is not true, because the United States is

40:55

a classic presidential republic.

40:57

And we, by the way, are not, uh,

41:00

a super-presidential republic, as you

41:02

say. Under the constitution, we, so to

41:05

speak, copied a version of the Fifth

41:07

Republic of France, where the president is not

41:10

the head of the executive branch, but

41:11

is the head

41:12

>> the head of state. Well, that is exactly

41:13

a super-presidential republic. But, Zhenya,

41:14

I want to say thank you for this question,

41:16

it is important, because this kind of

41:18

practical political science here does not have

41:20

much meaning. Under the constitution, we

41:23

copied

41:25

something from the Fifth Republic of France.

41:26

In reality, we are

41:30

I do not even know, some kind of

41:32

Latin American—not quite a dictatorship anymore,

41:34

but an autocracy. Belarus, on paper,

41:36

is one thing; in practice, it is something quite

41:38

different. The Soviet constitution, as

41:40

is well known, was also quite

41:42

democratic, and the Soviet criminal procedure

41:44

code was quite advanced and

41:45

modeled on the best, uh, examples. That is not

41:49

of great importance. The most important thing we

41:51

say in the program is that the powers of the

41:53

president must be curtailed and

41:56

redistributed in favor of parliament. The

41:58

guarantee that this whole system will not later

42:01

break down and that there will not be a usurpation

42:04

of power by a new president—a bad

42:06

Navalny, an evil one, or someone else—must

42:09

be the judicial system. In Georgia,

42:11

nothing worked out because, unfortunately,

42:13

judicial reform was not carried out, and

42:15

control over it remained with the

42:17

president for the sake of such declared

42:20

good intentions. Well, right now we will

42:21

jail corrupt officials, jail

42:24

bad traffic cops, and so on. But nevertheless,

42:26

they kept the judicial system

42:28

for themselves. Therefore, when another

42:29

president came, using that same judicial

42:30

system he simply jailed

42:33

the previous authorities. And this is extremely

42:35

important: that a new President Navalny,

42:38

for example, under a favorable scenario,

42:41

would voluntarily give up control over the judicial

42:44

system, which would greatly complicate

42:48

the carrying out of reforms, would greatly complicate

42:51

practical work, because shadowy

42:52

figures would begin influencing the judicial

42:54

system—oligarchs, certain groups,

42:56

and so on. But you gave it up, right? You cannot

42:58

call anyone. Even if you

43:00

pick up the phone and call, they tell you to get lost

43:02

on the other end of the line. That is the most

43:04

important thing. Therefore, based on

43:05

practical experience, based on many

43:09

conversations with various people, uh,

43:12

and there is always debate—you do not

43:14

agree with this, someone else does, but I

43:16

believe that what Russia needs now is

43:18

a parliamentary-presidential republic with

43:20

a very strong, independent judicial

43:22

system, which is what will create balance.

43:28

Ukraine.

43:30

>> Ukraine

43:30

>> Ukraine also went down that path

43:34

of a presidential-parliamentary republic.

43:35

Let's spell this out.

43:37

>> You're just like Putin. You keep wanting to

43:38

drag Ukraine into our conversation.

43:41

Let's spell this out and say that a

43:43

presidential-parliamentary republic

43:46

is a system in which there is a head of the executive

43:48

branch, and there is the legislature, parliament,

43:53

which can, well,

43:55

impeach the head of the executive branch

43:58

and so on. The clearest example is,

44:00

of course, France, which, as we know,

44:03

mm, had its last French Revolution

44:05

in 1830, and which has gone through a long and

44:09

remarkable path, but there is no other

44:11

successful example like it. Ukraine

44:13

tried to do this. We can see how

44:15

Poroshenko is now splendidly being broken over the

44:18

rack. And we can see

44:21

the main reason why this does not work

44:23

in Ukraine. And the main reason, one of the

44:25

main reasons for this kind of political

44:28

failure of reforms in Russia, this attempt to build

44:31

democracy, is the oligarchs. The oligarchs — the fact

44:33

that they control absolutely everything in

44:35

Ukraine; in that sense they control

44:37

an even larger share of the economy, they are even

44:39

more corrupt, venal, and

44:41

cynical than in Russia. And, of course, this is

44:44

a crucial factor that adds

44:49

a very significant shade

44:51

to this abstract political science discussion of ours,

44:53

which we are having.

44:54

>> It isn't abstract. If you look

44:56

at the 15 former republics of the Soviet Union,

44:58

you will see that two or three republics

45:01

of the former coun- former republics

45:04

of the Baltics — Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia —

45:07

went with the parliamentary model, as did

45:09

absolutely, with one exception,

45:11

all the countries of Europe, while the other, well,

45:14

12, including Russia, went down the path of a

45:18

presidential republic, yes, or

45:21

a model in which the president is the head

45:24

of state.

45:25

>> Well, they usurped power not

45:26

because they chose that path, but

45:29

because they simply controlled

45:31

the judicial system, seized the media, and

45:34

so on. The essence of presidential power

45:36

is that the winner takes it all. That is why in

45:39

the political section of our program we

45:42

from the very beginning emphasize

45:44

that the president's term of office, his

45:46

powers in general, should be

45:48

delegated toward parliament, in order

45:50

to break this pattern, so that jailing someone arbitrarily becomes impossible.

45:52

Could I do it or not? And I have no desire

45:55

to jail Albats. But if I were suddenly to seize

45:58

power and, because you, Zhenya, brought some

45:59

Ukraine into our conversation, wanted

46:02

to jail you for that, I would not be able

46:04

to do it, because an honest court would

46:07

acquit you. And I would be

46:09

impeached for having tried

46:11

to imprison an innocent person. That's

46:13

all. That's how it should work. And that's how it

46:15

will work in a normal country.

46:17

>> Well, basically, I'm just saying that I

46:20

want to understand your views clearly.

46:21

So, after all, you are

46:23

a supporter of a presidential system,

46:27

a presidential-parliamentary one. I believe

46:28

that at this stage of Russia's development, well,

46:31

again, we are not discussing this

46:32

in the abstract; we are discussing what

46:34

to do the very next day. That's what they said

46:37

in Ukraine.

46:39

>> And now Saakashvili is doing the same, running

46:41

through the streets, just as Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin tells me the same thing:

46:43

why are you so obsessed with

46:45

Ukraine? There are many

46:48

other examples. We are talking about the fact that

46:50

there is now a specific situation in Russia,

46:52

and how it should be resolved. And I

46:54

am saying that we need to begin by

46:56

drastically reducing the powers of the president.

46:59

And you do not want

47:01

to hear that, but instead you've latched onto some

47:03

piece of paper that says

47:05

presidential-parliamentary or

47:07

parliamentary-presidential, and around

47:08

that some kind of pointless debate is going on.

47:12

I don't want to cite any examples,

47:14

because all of this is abstract

47:15

political science, Zhenya. Any example can

47:18

be interpreted this way or

47:20

that way. It's all just juggling

47:23

geography and some textbooks of

47:25

history. And there is no truth in that. I

47:27

am talking about the reality that

47:30

objectively exists, and how it should

47:32

be changed for the better.

47:35

>> Okay. Well, if a rational voter

47:39

reads political platforms — and you know, that's

47:41

the kind of product you

47:43

are offering to the voter — where... when

47:46

you invited me onto this program, I

47:49

assumed there would at least be

47:50

a certain level of my personal

47:51

safety here. But now you want

47:53

me to die laughing when you say that

47:56

large numbers of voters

47:58

actually read them. Nobody reads those

48:01

sections of party platforms. We write them; our

48:02

platform is the best, but people are simply not interested in these

48:06

tiny distinctions and all these little games

48:08

of wording at all.

48:11

Okay. Bokrev, Alex, Alexei, unfortunately

48:15

you were not allowed to take part in the election.

48:17

That was predictable. For that reason,

48:19

for the first time I will not go vote. What are you

48:21

going to do next? Will you take part

48:23

in other elections, for example for mayor or

48:25

for parliament, or prepare for 2024?

48:28

>> Well, personally I do not plan to take part in

48:30

the mayoral election, but of course I... well, why

48:33

Is that what needs to be done? I mean, uh, I want

48:37

to use that remarkable

48:39

political system of influence that we

48:41

have created to make

48:45

the authorities reckon with us, run around,

48:47

take part in election after election—that

48:48

would simply be indecent toward

48:51

the voters. If I wanted to become

48:53

a candidate in the mayoral election, well, then I

48:55

should honestly say: "Guys, I

48:57

am running in the mayoral election. I'm going into it, I'm

49:00

building some kind of system. This is how it should

49:01

be organized." But to suddenly, right before

49:03

the election, jump in—as everything here

49:04

usually happens—and say, "Oh, and also

49:06

me, pick me, I can get 7%,"

49:09

what the hell is the point of that? I don't want to

49:11

do that, but I believe that in every

49:13

election we need to participate, if

49:16

they let us in. And if they don't let us in,

49:18

then we have to look for other options.

49:20

Alexei Venediktov suggested

49:21

that you—well, this is Alexei

49:24

>> mayor, but nevertheless here he is the editor-in-chief

49:25

editor-in-chief. In the mayoral election, will you, um,

49:30

support Ilya Yashin as a candidate? Is that

49:32

really the case? Do you think Ilya

49:35

will run?

49:35

>> I—well, I think that Ilya is currently doing

49:38

an absolutely tremendous job specifically in

49:41

Moscow with Moscow voters. That

49:43

is, he's not just doing a wonderful job

49:46

meeting with these people and dealing with

49:48

housing and utilities issues, social benefits recipients, and

49:52

everything else—he's really fighting on the

49:54

front lines, actually. And he's also doing all sorts of

49:56

impressive political things too, like his

49:58

recent event, when he

49:59

went head-to-head with the mayor's office. But I haven't

50:02

discussed that either with Yashin or with anyone else. I

50:04

am not even thinking about it. Besides, the election is

50:06

still a long way off, first of all. I know that I will not

50:08

be taking part in it. Everything else is

50:11

secondary for me right now. I am focused on

50:12

the presidential election, but

50:14

naturally, I will support whichever candidate

50:16

is doing active work. I

50:19

don't want to support idlers or

50:21

people who just post things on Facebook

50:22

and make statements. Yashin is working excellently, but

50:25

as I understand it, they don't have such

50:26

plans either. I would like everyone who

50:28

wants to run for office to say so now

50:30

and to demonstrate through their work

50:33

not only to me, but to you and everyone else, that they

50:35

deserve our support.

50:37

>> Yak 007, when can we expect a film from you called "He

50:40

Isn't Dimon to You?" Haven't you really dug up anything on

50:43

the one who can't learn your last name?

50:45

>> That's classified information. Well, we, we are constantly

50:48

constantly

50:50

working on investigations in various

50:52

directions involving different people. All of this is very

50:54

complicated, and there cannot be

50:56

any specific deadlines for it. And we never

50:58

disclose any details whatsoever about

51:00

our upcoming investigations.

51:01

>> But you are working on such

51:03

investigations.

51:03

>> Any investigation into corruption in Russia,

51:05

major corruption, is connected to

51:07

Putin. Any, any film or anything

51:10

about Rotenberg, Timchenko, or Shamalov

51:12

is all about Putin.

51:14

>> Cherepovets. What is the likelihood of Russia

51:16

breaking up like the Soviet Union? What could

51:18

contribute to such a breakup? What would you

51:20

do to unite the country

51:21

ideologically and economically

51:23

if you came to power?

51:24

>> What Putin is doing now is,

51:26

of course, work that is leading to Russia's collapse. It is

51:28

this current effort to strip all power from

51:30

the regions, squeeze everyone, uh, everyone

51:32

being driven out, because later, when

51:34

the pendulum swings, swings back in

51:36

the opposite direction, that will, of course, lead

51:38

to centrifugal tendencies of that kind.

51:40

So yes, I really do believe that

51:41

Putin is working toward the breakup of the country,

51:43

despite the fact that they are the ones who

51:45

most loudly claim that they are

51:48

trying to hold it together, while the economy is

51:49

supposedly already falling apart now.

51:52

No ideological foundation will

51:54

unite our country. People need to be given

51:56

decent wages if things are to go well for

51:59

Russia.

52:00

>> Alexei, we're with you. Makarov 14. Alexei,

52:03

we're with you. A question: do you have a clear

52:05

plan for after March 18?

52:07

>> I do have a clear plan for after March 18.

52:09

After March 18, we will

52:11

use every mechanism available to

52:13

make the authorities reckon with us.

52:15

We will take part in elections and

52:17

demand our right to participate. We will

52:19

spread information. We will

52:21

create new channels of communication, which

52:23

we have talked about. We are, at a minimum,

52:26

at least 30–40%

52:28

of the residents of the largest cities, who have already

52:31

realized that they have effectively been

52:33

thrown out of the political system,

52:34

who have been told: "Guys, you are not supposed to be

52:36

in these elections, and you cannot

52:38

put forward your own representatives. We ourselves

52:40

will decide who your representatives are, and you

52:42

can just come and vote for them." So

52:44

go vote. Uh, all these people—they are

52:48

there, and we will work to ensure that

52:51

they begin influencing the authorities in different

52:53

ways: through elections, through information, well,

52:56

through anything—leaflets, whatever. Politics has once again

52:58

returned to a state that is, you know,

53:00

the most basic, maybe even the most

53:02

honest, where now meetings with

53:03

voters and the distribution of newspapers

53:05

Leaflets are in fact the most important and

53:07

the main political process.

53:09

>> Well, for you, politics is a profession.

53:12

And what will happen to the Progress Party? We have never stopped

53:15

trying to register the Progress Party,

53:17

we have not given up those

53:19

attempts, and we will not give them up going forward. We

53:20

believe that we should have a party of our own.

53:22

It is not the most comfortable way

53:24

to do political work for most

53:26

people. A party is, generally speaking, the most

53:29

discredited

53:30

institution, as we know even from

53:32

numerous sociological surveys.

53:33

But it is important. And the question of participating in elections

53:36

is, of course, tied to the registration

53:38

of a party, because we are constantly

53:38

being told: "Oh, just go to PARNAS (a Russian opposition party) or

53:40

go to Yabloko (a Russian liberal party), and there you will have to

53:42

fall to your knees and kiss the ring." And

53:44

then we will let one person onto your

53:46

candidate lists. That is unacceptable. And most

53:48

importantly, it leads to no

53:50

result. So of course we will continue

53:51

to seek registration, to demand the registration

53:53

of the Progress Party, and nothing else.

53:54

>> On March 19, 2018, what will you say to your

53:59

supporters? I will give my supporters

54:03

an assessment of my work and their work up to that

54:06

point. Whether we managed to achieve something or

54:08

not. I will call on my supporters

54:10

to keep working, because March 19 is

54:12

not some super-date. It is a completely

54:15

technical date on which there will be a

54:16

reappointment of Putin. He

54:19

will get his 73%

54:21

and will go on waving those percentages in

54:23

our faces. And on March 19 I will say: "People, do not

54:26

believe this piece of paper. We will

54:28

continue"—continue fighting so that

54:31

we can influence the political system, because

54:33

without our influence, nothing good

54:35

will happen. Without our influence, we will

54:36

continue to decline and grow poorer.

54:40

And all these predictions that after

54:42

the inauguration there will be a sharp

54:43

tightening of the regime, since the leader

54:48

is not getting any younger—what is your forecast? Will things get worse?

54:52

>> Well, of course things will get worse. I do not think

54:54

something abrupt will happen immediately. This is the kind of

54:56

traditional forecast, uh, made by people who

54:59

like making forecasts, that from such-and-such a moment...

55:01

>> The program on your channel

55:02

is called *It Will Get Worse*—how much worse can it get?

55:04

>> That is the name of the program, so yes, I am saying that

55:05

things will get worse, but that is the logic of the regime. Everything

55:08

keeps getting worse. The number of

55:10

political prisoners is growing. Absurd

55:12

criminal cases no longer even make us laugh

55:15

when someone is jailed for a like

55:17

on VKontakte (a Russian social network). It is now just a routine

55:19

news item. It appears every single

55:20

day. So, of course, the whole logic

55:23

of this regime is that people will become

55:25

poorer, there will be more corruption,

55:28

more political prisoners, more repression.

55:30

Not in sudden leaps, but it

55:32

will keep intensifying, so things will get worse.

55:34

That is exactly why we must keep fighting.

55:36

>> That was Alexei Navalny. Thank you.

55:38

We will talk again in a week.

55:42

Full

55:42

>> We ended on an optimistic note. It will

55:45

get worse.

55:45

>> I printed something out for you специально.

55:47

>> Let me see. And you...

55:51

I dealt with this myself, you see? There are

55:52

things I knew well that used to annoy me

55:54

enormously...

55:57

That helps a lot. We are leaving now.

56:01

The wardrobe needs to be replaced.

56:04

>> YouTube is working.

56:06

>> YouTube is working. Yes, yes, yes. Let's go.

56:08

>> On YouTube. Hello, everyone. Goodbye, everyone.

56:10

>> How many people are watching right now? Tell me.

56:12

Interesting. Let's take a look now.

56:14

>> Oh, I forgot to ask: why did your

56:16

wife not go to vote? Damn, I

56:19

forgot a lot of questions like that.

56:22

Yes, and there were more—it's a shame.

56:24

>> I can choose not to answer that question. There is

56:26

nothing terrible about that. These things happen.

56:27

>> It is not loading. Well, people have already dropped off there,

56:29

so... chiffonier, as I...

56:33

that is wrong. So, wardrobe, wardrobe,

56:35

closet, and chiffonier—how do they relate

56:37

to one another?

56:43

What,

56:51

that you like him? Aleksan just does not

56:54

read the audio. Well, I am working on it.

Original