Hooray, hooray. The results of the contest are in. So, who in LiveJournal can actually make accurate political predictions (or just gets lucky with their guesses)? First place. The hyper-mega-forecaster and Surkov’s closest adviser, is: c**ygan_mikki , who made a very accurate prediction and was off by 4.8 points!!!!! He gets a bottle of 0.75 L of J/W Blue Label whisky. Loud, prolonged applause. His prediction: http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2487900#t2487900 Second place. The super-forecaster and Churov’s closest adviser,** is: s**cratch_child , who was off by 4.9 points! He gets a bottle of 0.75 L of J/W Gold Label whisky. Applause. His prediction: http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2478428#t2478428 Third place. A forecaster and the Father of VTsIOM (Russia’s state-run public opinion research center). And that, my friends, is navalny ** — that is, me. I was off by 5.1 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2428764#t2428764) (my account isn’t paid, just so you know, so I can’t edit comments). But since I can’t award a prize to myself, I am shamefully withdrawing from the competition, and third place goes to: p**robell ** – error of 5.3 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2452060#t2452060) He gets a bottle of 1** L of J/W Black Label whisky Applause. There you have the winners. I ask the LiveJournal public to recognize them as political science geniuses. In addition, we determined the results for everyone whose prediction error was 8 points or less. Here is the ranking of these outstanding people: 4. mishgausen ** – 5.8 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2477660#t2477660) 5. s**molyak ** – 5.9 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2433116#t2433116) 6. a**rcfox ** – 5.9 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2448220#t2448220) 7. k**sue_shen ** – 6 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2420316#t2420316) 8. k**ireev ** – 6.1 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2514780#t2514780) 9. n**emez_9 ** - 6.3 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2434908#t2434908) 10. o**lezhikk ** – 6.5 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2494812#t2494812) 11. l**eteha ** – 6.8 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2414172#t2414172) 12. g**imser ** – 7.3 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2519644#t2519644) 13. s**nume ** – 7.6 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2506076#t2506076) 14. k**okoryan ** – 7.8 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2516572#t2516572) 15. a**rtdig ** – 7.8 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2491996#t2491996) 16. k**irill_kaluga ** – 7.9 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2497884#t2497884) 17. j**jiv ** – 8 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2516316#t2516316) 18. d**unemaster ** – 8 (http://navalny.livejournal.com/180060.html?thread=2461532#t2461532) Thanks to everyone who took part in the contest. Special thanks to au**t_ist ,** who made an invaluable contribution to calculating the results. If you spot any mistakes (even though we counted everything twice), let us know. We’ll conduct a session of self-exposure. I ask the contest winners to get in touch to claim their prizezz!